Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Pick and Preview, November 3 (11/3): NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Pick and Preview, November 3 (11/3): NBA

 

Odds

Time 8:00 p.m. EST
Nuggets money line -240
Nuggets spread -6 (-110)
Thunder money line +200
Thunder spread +6 (-110)
Over / under 229.5

 

2022-2023 season stats

  Denver Nuggets Oklahoma City Thunder
Record 4-3 4-3
Road / home record 1-3 3-1
Streak L1 W4
Points per game 114.3 112.00
Points allowed per game 117.00 111.00
Rebounds per game 45.00 48.00
Rebounds allowed per game 43.00 49.00
Over / under record 4-3 4-3
 

Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder continue at home and will host the Denver Nuggets at the Paycom Center on Thursday night. These teams just met on October 22nd in Denver where the Nuggets took the win 122-117 but didn't cover the spread as -9 pts favorites.  

 

Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets get here with a 4-3 record after losing 121-110 on the road against the Los Angeles Lakers. Nikola Jockic scored 23 points and Jamal Murray added a season-high 21 for the Nuggets. Bones Hyland missed the game with a left hip strain. G Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (sprained ankle) returned Sunday and had nine points.

Nikola Jokic leads the team scoring 21 points per game, 8.4 assists and averaging 11.1 rebounds per game for the Nuggets. 

In their last 10 games, the Nuggets are 5-5, averaging 113.4 points, 43.2 rebounds, 30.1 assists, 6.2 steals and 3.6 blocks per game while shooting 51.9% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 116 points per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder

The Thunder have won 4 games in a row and are 3-1 at home so far ranking 4th in the Northwest division. Last tuesday, they beat the Orlando Magic 116-108 at home. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 13 of his 34 points in the fourth quarter, and the Thunder rallied from 15 points down in the second half to beat the Orlando Magic. Aleksej Pokusevski added 16 points and nine rebounds.

Gilgeous-Alexander leads the team and is averaging 31.5 points and 6.8 assists for the Thunder while Aaron Wiggins leads the team in rebounds with 5.3 per game.

In their last 10 games the Thunder are 4-6, averaging 108.5 points, 46.2 rebounds, 24.6 assists, 6.8 steals and 5.6 blocks per game while shooting 46.7% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 117.4 points.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Denver are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against Oklahoma City.

Denver are 14-3 SU in their last 17 games against Oklahoma City.

Denver are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games on the road.

Denver are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City.

Oklahoma City are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games.

Oklahoma City are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

Oklahoma City are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home

 

Prediction

The Nuggets have been great offensively and are scoring an average of 114 points per game but they have struggled in defense as they are allowing 117 points per game and are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 games vs Thunder. The Thunder have been on fire since the return of their All-Star Gilgeous-Alexander as they have won 4 games in a row beating tough teams like the Clippers twice and the Mavericks. They lost against the Nuggets on the road earlier this season but covered the spread as +9 pts underdogs but without Gilgeous-Alexander so I expect them to keep this game close enough to cover again.

PICK: Thunder +6 (-110)

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