Nets vs. Nuggets Prediction, March 12, 2023

Odds

2022-2023 season stats

Preview

On Sunday, the Brooklyn Nets will visit the Denver Nuggets at the Ball Arena. The Nets are coming off a thrilling overtime win against the Minnesota Timberwolves, while the Nuggets have been one of the top teams in the Western Conference all season long. With both teams fighting for playoff positioning, this game promises to be an exciting matchup between two talented teams.

In this article, we will be taking a closer look at both teams to preview their performance and evaluate their chances of winning. We will analyze the key players, team statistics, and their last ten games. Finally, we will provide our NBA Picks Experts on the outcome of the game.

Brooklyn Nets

The Brooklyn Nets have managed to stay afloat in the Eastern Conference. While their record of 38-29 may not be as impressive as some of the other top teams in the conference, the Nets have shown that they are still a force to be reckoned with. In this matchup against the Denver Nuggets, the Nets will have to rely on their talented role players to keep up with the top team in the East.

Spencer Dinwiddie has been a key contributor for the Nets this season. He has been the primary playmaker for the team, averaging 7.8 assists per game, which ranks him 9th in the NBA. Dinwiddie has also been scoring the ball efficiently, averaging 16.2 points per game on 46.7% shooting from the field. His ability to create for himself and his teammates will be crucial in this game against the Nuggets, as the Nets will need to find ways to score without their top two scorers.

Another player that will need to step up for the Nets is Ben Simmons. The former 76er has been a solid addition to the team, providing a versatile skill set that includes playmaking, rebounding, and defense. Simmons is averaging 14.5 points, 7.3 rebounds, and 7.8 assists per game this season. While he has struggled with his shooting, shooting just 59.2% from the free-throw line and 24.7% from beyond the arc, Simmons is still a dynamic player who can impact the game in a variety of ways.

Joe Harris is another player who will need to step up for the Nets in this game. Harris is known for his three-point shooting, but he has struggled with his shot this season, shooting just 31.1% from beyond the arc. However, he is still a valuable player for the Nets, providing solid defense and hustle on the court. The Nets will need him to knock down some shots from beyond the arc to help spread the floor and create scoring opportunities for his teammates.

Patty Mills has been a consistent scorer off the bench for the Nets this season. He is averaging 12.5 points per game and shooting 40.3% from three-point range. Mills provides energy and scoring punch off the bench and can help the Nets keep pace with the Nuggets' high-powered offense.

Overall, the Nets have a deep and talented roster that can cause problems for any team on a given night. While they may not have the star power of their opponents, they have shown that they can compete with anyone in the league. 

Denver Nuggets

The Denver Nuggets have been one of the best teams in the Western Conference this season, thanks in large part to their talented roster led by Nikola Jokic. Jokic has been a dominant force for the Nuggets all season long, averaging 22.4 points, 11.0 rebounds, and 8.8 assists per game. He is a versatile big man who can score from anywhere on the court and is also an excellent passer.

Alongside Jokic, the Nuggets have a number of other talented players who can make an impact on the game. Jamal Murray is a dynamic scorer who can get hot from beyond the arc, while Michael Porter Jr. has emerged as a rising star for the team, averaging 19.0 points and 7.6 rebounds per game. The Nuggets also have a solid supporting cast, including Will Barton and Monte Morris, who can provide a spark off the bench.

Defensively, the Nuggets have been solid all season long, holding opponents to just 112.9 points per game, the ninth-best mark in the league. They are also a strong rebounding team, averaging 44.1 rebounds per game, which ranks fifth in the league. Overall, the Nuggets are a well-rounded team that can beat opponents in a variety of ways.

In addition to their strong core of players, the Nuggets have been especially dominant on their home court this season. They boast a 30-5 record at home, the best mark in the league, and have been able to outscore opponents by an average of 4.0 points per game. Much of their success at home can be attributed to their efficient offense, which scores 116.9 points per game, good for the fourth-best mark in the league.

However, the Nuggets have had some struggles on the road this season, with a 16-16 record away from home. While they have been able to remain competitive, they will need to improve their road play if they hope to make a deep playoff run.

The Nuggets have some areas for improvement as they head into the final stretch of the regular season. They have struggled with turnovers at times, committing an average of 14.7 per game, which ranks 28th in the league. They also need to improve their three-point shooting, as they currently rank just 21st in the league in three-point percentage at 35.1%.

Overall, the Nuggets are a talented and well-rounded team that has the potential to make a deep playoff run. With a dominant star in Nikola Jokic, a rising star in Michael Porter Jr., and a solid supporting cast, they will be a tough team to beat, especially on their home court. However, they will need to improve their road play and address some areas for improvement if they hope to achieve their goals.

BETTING TRENDS

Brooklyn are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games.

Brooklyn are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

Brooklyn are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games against Denver.

Brooklyn are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games when playing on the road against Denver.

The total has gone OVER in 12 of Denver's last 18 games.

Denver are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games against Brooklyn.

Denver are 18-2 SU in their last 20 games at home.

Prediction

Despite the Nets having some talented players such as Dinwiddie and Harris, it is unlikely that they will be able to keep up with the Nuggets on the road. The Nuggets have one of the best home records in the league and have been playing solid basketball lately. The Nets, on the other hand, have struggled defensively and are dealing with significant absences on their roster.

Moreover, the Nets' recent form has been inconsistent, going 5-5 in their last 10 games and allowing opponents to score an average of 115.3 points per game. Meanwhile, the Nuggets have been consistently performing well, going 7-3 in their last 10 games and scoring an average of 115.3 points per game while holding opponents to 112.9 points per game.

Given these factors, it is reasonable to predict that the Nets will struggle against the Nuggets, and it is unlikely that they will be able to cover the +8 points spread. Unless they have an exceptional performance, the depleted Nets will likely fall short against a talented and well-rounded Nuggets team that is currently sitting atop the Western Conference.

PICK: Nuggets -8 (-110)

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