Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat: Feb 24, 2023 - Expert Analysis & Betting Picks

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat: Feb 24, 2023 - Expert Analysis & Betting Picks



Time 7:30 p.m. EST
Bucks money line -125
Bucks spread -2 (-110)
Heat money line -105
Heat spread +2 (-110)
Over / under  


2022-2023 season stats

  Milwaukee Bucks Miami Heat
Record 41-17 32-27
Home / road record 24-5 13-17
Streak W12 L2
Points per game 114.00 108.00
Points allowed per game 111.00 108.00
Rebounds per game 42.00 44.00
Rebounds allowed per game 43.00 43.00
Over / under record 27-31 26-32-1


The Milwaukee Bucks are taking their show at home for the first game of the second half of the season, and they'll host the Miami Heat, on Friday night at the Fiserv Forum. This won't be the first time these two teams have met this season, as they've already faced each other 3 times before, with the Heat coming out on top in 2 of those 3 games but the last one was in Milwaukee where the Bucks took the win 123-115. Giannis Antetokounmpo had a triple-double with 35 points, 15 rebounds and 11 assists. The 2 games Miami won Giannis was out for the Bucks.


Milwaukee Bucks

The Milwaukee Bucks have been a force to be reckoned with this season, sporting an impressive 41-17 overall record. While their home record is strong, they've also managed to hold their own on the road with an outstanding 24-5 record at home. This has helped them secure the top spot in the Central division, a testament to their consistent performances throughout the season.

The Bucks have also been dominant against their Eastern Conference rivals, boasting a solid record of 22-13 in these games. They've faced some tough competition in the conference, but their depth and overall talent have allowed them to hold their own against some of the best teams in the league.

One of the biggest factors contributing to the Bucks' success this season has been their rebounding prowess. They currently lead the Eastern Conference in rebounding, averaging an impressive 49.1 boards per game. A big part of this success can be attributed to their star player Giannis Antetokounmpo, who leads the team with an impressive 12.3 rebounds per game. His athleticism and tenacity on the glass have made him one of the best rebounders in the league, and he's been a key part of the Bucks' success this season.

Overall, the Bucks have put together a well-rounded campaign this season, with strong performances on both ends of the court. With their strong record, dominant rebounding, and a roster full of talented players, they'll be a tough team to beat in the playoffs.

Jrue Holiday has been a key player for the Bucks this season, especially from beyond the arc. He's been averaging 2.3 made 3-pointers per game while scoring 19.6 points per game, showcasing his scoring prowess and ability to hit shots from long range. His shooting percentage from beyond the arc is also impressive, with a solid 37.8% accuracy. Meanwhile, Giannis Antetokounmpo has been an absolute beast over the last 10 games for the Bucks. He's been averaging an incredible 31.3 points, 12 rebounds, and 5.3 assists per game, demonstrating his versatility and all-around ability on the court. His performance has been a key factor in the team's 10-game winning streak and their recent success.

In addition to the individual performances of Holiday and Antetokounmpo, the Bucks have been putting together some impressive team stats over their last 10 games. They've been averaging 124.7 points, 53.1 rebounds, 24.9 assists, 7.2 steals, and 4.5 blocks per game, showcasing their talent and ability to dominate on both ends of the court. Their shooting accuracy from the field has also been impressive, with a solid 49.7% accuracy.

While the Bucks have been putting up impressive numbers, their opponents have struggled to keep up. The team's opponents have been averaging just 112.5 points per game over the last 10 games, showing just how dominant the Bucks have been in recent weeks.

Miami Heat

The Miami Heat have had a mixed performance in Eastern Conference play with a record of 15-17. However, they have shown remarkable resilience in close games, boasting a record of 12-7 in one-possession contests. The team's impressive showing can be attributed, in part, to the standout performance of Bam Adebayo, who has been a consistent force on both ends of the court, averaging an impressive 21.6 points, 10 rebounds, and 3.3 assists per game.

Jimmy Butler has also been a key contributor to the team's recent success, averaging 20.9 points over the last 10 games for Miami. Despite this, the team has been grappling with several injuries, including Victor Oladipo, who is currently day-to-day with an ankle issue, Kyle Lowry, who is out due to a knee injury, Nikola Jovic, who is out with a back injury, Omer Yurtseven, who is also out with an ankle issue, and Tyler Herro, who is day-to-day with a knee problem.

In their most recent stretch of 10 games, the Heat have maintained a record of 5-5 and have averaged 107.9 points, 40.4 rebounds, and 23.2 assists per game. They have also been effective on the defensive end of the court, averaging 8.2 steals and 3.3 blocks per game. Despite shooting 44.9% from the field, their opponents have managed to average 109.0 points against them, making it clear that the team's defensive efforts will need to improve in order to achieve greater success in upcoming games.



Miami are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games.

Miami are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games against Milwaukee.

Miami are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on the road.

Miami are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee.

Miami are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference.

Milwaukee are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games.

Milwaukee are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games.

Milwaukee are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games at home.



The Milwaukee Bucks have been on a roll lately, and their recent performances have been nothing short of impressive. They've won their last 12 games! and during that stretch, they've been scoring at an incredible rate of over 124 points per game. Their offense has been on fire, and it seems like they can't be stopped. On the other hand, the Miami Heat have been struggling recently, especially since the absence of Kyle Lowry, who has been a key player for them this season. They've lost 4 of their last 7 games and are 13-17 on the road.

Even though the Heat have managed to beat the Bucks twice so far this season, it's important to note that Giannis was unavailable for the Bucks in the 2 Bucks' losses so if he sits out for this game it will be a huge problem for the Bucks.

Considering the way the Bucks have been playing lately, it's hard to go against them. They're in top form right now, and it seems like they can take on any team that comes their way. As a result, it's no surprise that they're still favored to win this game but with Giannis doubtful I can't trust on them.

In conclusion, as the Heat have managed to beat the Bucks twice without Giannis I gotta go with Miami to win this game.


PICK: Heat +2 (-110)

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