Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 11 (5/11): NBA

Credit: photo by Michael McLoone-USA TODAY Sports

Odds

2021-2022 season stats

Preview

The Milwaukee Bucks and the Boston Celtics will play the game five of the Eastern Conference semifinals at the TD Garden in Boston, MA. The Celtics tied the series by beating the Bucks 116-108 in Game 4. Al Horford led the Celtics with 30 points, and Giannis Antetokounmpo led the Bucks with 34 points.

Milwaukee Bucks

The Bucks have won 5 of their last 7 games and are 27-18 on the road with a 57-34 record ranking 1st in the Central division. The Bucks are 33-19 in Eastern Conference play. Milwaukee is second in the league with 46.7 rebounds per game.

Jrue Holiday is averaging 18.3 points, 6.8 assists and 1.6 steals for the Bucks. Giannis Antetokounmpo is shooting 49.5% and averaging 30.1 points over the last 10 games for Milwaukee.

In their last 10 games, the Bucks are 6-4, averaging 106.2 points, 49.2 rebounds, 22.0 assists, 6.8 steals and 4.3 blocks per game while shooting 44.9% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 102.4 points.

INJURIES: Middleton is out.

Boston Celtics

The Celtics have won 3 of their last 5 games and are 31-14 at home with a 57-33 record ranking second in the Atlantic Division. The Celtics are 33-19 in Eastern Conference games. Boston leads the Eastern Conference at limiting opponent scoring, allowing 104.5 points while holding opponents to 43.4% shooting.

Marcus Smart is averaging 12.1 points, 5.9 assists and 1.7 steals for the Celtics. Jayson Tatum is averaging 26.6 points over the last 10 games for Boston.

In their last 10 games, the Celtics are 7-3, averaging 112.9 points, 43.1 rebounds, 26.4 assists, 7.3 steals and 5.1 blocks per game while shooting 46.9% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 107.1 points per game.

BETTING TRENDS

Milwaukee are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games against Boston.

Milwaukee are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston.

Boston are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.

Boston are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home.

Prediction

The Bucks are depending so much on Giannis while the Celtics are the more balanced team with Tatum, Brown, Horford, Smart all of them are responding. The Celtics are the #1 defense in the NBA and are holding the Bucks to only 99.5 ppg in this series. Boston has covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games vs the Bucks and 5 of their last 6 games playing at home against them so I'm going with the Celtics.

PICK: Celtics -5.5 (-110)

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