Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 24 (10/24): NBA

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 24 (10/24): NBA

 

Odds

Time 10:00 p.m. EST
Raptors money line +170
Raptors spread +4.5 (-110)
Heat money line -200
Heat spread -4.5 (-110)
Over / under 229.5

 

2022-2023 season stats

  Toronto Raptors Miami Heat
Record 0-1 1-0
Road / home record 0-1 1-0
Streak    
Points per game 102.00 123.00
Points allowed per game 123.00 109.00
Rebounds per game 35.00 48.00
Rebounds allowed per game 43.00 48.00
Over / under record 0-1 1-0
 

Preview

The Toronto Raptors travel to San Francisco to take on the defending champions the Miami Heat at the Chase Center on Friday night. These teams met 9 times last season and Heat led 5-4 and lost twice at home.  

 

Toronto Raptors

The Raptors won their first game of the season against the Cavaliers in a close game as they beat them 108-105 at home. Pascal Siakam had 23 points and 11 rebounds before fouling out, O.G. Anunoby scored 10 of his 18 points in the fourth quarter. Gary Trent Jr. scored 19 points, and Scottie Barnes and Fred Van Vleet each had 15 points.

Defensively, the team looked good as they held the Cavs to 49.4% fg and 35.7% from long distance allowing 105 points.

In their last 10 games, the Raptors are 5-5, averaging 113.2 points, 47.1 rebounds, 23.5 assists, 8.6 steals and 4.4 blocks per game while shooting 46.0% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 104.9 points per game.

Miami Heat

The Heat have won 4 of their last 6 games and are 36-13 at home, they have a 63-34 record overall ranking first in the Southeast. The Heat have gone 45-23 against Eastern Conference opponents. Miami leads the league in 3-point percentage, shooting 37.9% as a team from downtown this season. Victor Oladipo paces the team shooting 41.7% from 3-point range.

Duncan Robinson is shooting 37.2% from beyond the arc with 2.9 made 3-pointers per game for the Heat, while averaging 10.9 points. Butler is averaging 27 points, 7.4 rebounds, 5.6 assists and 2.2 steals over the past 10 games for Miami.

In the playoffs the Heat are 11-6, averaging 104.7 points, 41.5 rebounds, 21.8 assists, 8.1 steals and 3 blocks per game while shooting 46.7% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 100.4 points per game.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Toronto are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against Miami.

Toronto are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Miami.

Toronto are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road.

Toronto are 4-13 SU in their last 17 games when playing on the road against Miami.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games.

Miami are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games against Toronto.

Miami are 14-1 SU in their last 15 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Raptors were awful in their 1st game of the season as they were outscored 123-102 against Utah and were dominated by the Heat in the last season playoffs. On the other hand, the Heat looked like they supposed to look, like Champions as they dominated the Lakers at home. Murray is questionable for this game so I think they'll be cautious about him while the Heat are full healthy and are at home again. I'm going with the Heat.

PICK: Heat -4.5 (-110)

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