Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Prediction, Pick and Preview, December 6 (12/6): NBA

Odds

2022-2023 season stats

Preview

The Miami Heat return home and to host the Detroit Pistons at the FTX Arena on Tuesday night. These teams faced each other 4 times last season and the Heat led 3-1.  

Miami Heat

The Heat get here with an 11-13 record and are 8-4 at home so far ranking 2nd in the Southeast Division. In their last game,  they lost on the road against the Grizzlies 101-93. Tyler Herro led the Heat with 23 points and 13 rebounds. Jimmy Butler had 18 points and Caleb Martin finished with 16 for the Heat.

Jimmy Butler is averaging 21.8 points and shooting 48.6% FG. Bam Adebayo leads the team in rebounds with 8.4 per game while Kyle Lowry is leading with 4.8 assists for the Heat.

In the last 10 games, the Heat are 4-6, averaging 106.1 points, 41.5 rebounds, 21.8 assists, 8.1 steals and 3 blocks per game while shooting 46.7% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 109.4 points per game. 

Detroit Pistons

The Pistons get here with a 6-19 record and are 2-11 on the road ranking 5th in the Central division. In their last game at home, they lost 122-112 against the Grizzlies. Saddiq Bey led Detroit with 20 points and Bojan Bogdanovic had 18.

Killian Hayes is averaging 7.1 points and 4.4 assists for the Pistons. Bojan Bogdanovic is averaging 19.6 points over the last 10 games for Detroit.

In their last 10 games, the Pistons are 3-7, averaging 112.3 points, 43.5 rebounds, 24.6 assists, 8.0 steals and 4.8 blocks per game while shooting 45.9% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 118.8 points per game.

BETTING TRENDS

Detroit are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Miami.

Detroit are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Miami.

Detroit are 2-12 SU in their last 14 games on the road.

Detroit are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games.

Miami are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 13 of Miami's last 20 games against Detroit.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 6 games at home

Prediction

The Heat have been up and down this season but they have been playing better lately as they got back some of their best players. The Pistons are one of the worst teams in the league and have lost 7 of their last 10 games and are ranking 29th in defense allowing 118 points per game. Miami has dominated Detroit at home beating them in 5 of the last 6 games at home but they looked awful in their last game as they scored only 93 points. The Heat are the better team but the Pistons can keep it close enough to cover the spread.

PICK: Pistons +8.5 (-110)

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