Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 21 (5/21): NBA

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 21 (5/21): NBA

Credit: photo by Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 8:30 p.m. EST
Heat money line +220
Heat spread +6.5 (-110)
Celtics money line -270
Celtics spread -6.5 (-110)
Over / under 207.5
 

2021-2022 season stats

  Miami Heat Boston Celtics
Record 62-33 60-35
Road / home record 26-20 32-15
Streak L1 W1
Points per game 109.77 111.39
Points allowed per game 104.64 104.31
Rebounds per game 43.39 45.45
Rebounds allowed per game 41.17 43.67
Over / under record 52-42-1 47-47-1
 

Preview

The Miami Heat and the Boston Celtics will play the Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals at the TD Garden on Saturday night. The Celtics outscored the Heat in Game 2 beating them 127-102 to tie the series 1-1.

Miami Heat 

The Heat have won 3 games of their last 4 games and are 26-20 on the road, they have a 62-33 record overall ranking first in the Southeast. The Heat have gone 44-21 against Eastern Conference opponents. Miami leads the league in 3-point percentage, shooting 37.9% as a team from downtown this season. Victor Oladipo paces the team shooting 41.7% from 3-point range.

Duncan Robinson is shooting 37.2% from beyond the arc with 2.9 made 3-pointers per game for the Heat, while averaging 10.9 points. Butler is averaging 28.3 points, 7.4 rebounds, 5.6 assists and 2.2 steals over the past 10 games for Miami.

In the playoffs the Heat are 9-4, averaging 107.5 points, 41.5 rebounds, 21.8 assists, 8.1 steals and 3 blocks per game while shooting 46.7% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 100.5 points per game.

Boston Celtics

The Celtics have won 3 of their last 4 games and are 32-15 at home with a 60-35 record ranking second in the Atlantic Division. The Celtics are 42-23 in Eastern Conference games. Boston is fifth in the Eastern Conference scoring 111.39 points while shooting 45.5% from the field.

Tatum is scoring 26.9 points per game with 8.0 rebounds and 4.4 assists for the Celtics. Jaylen Brown is averaging 22.1 points and 6.2 rebounds while shooting 48.8% over the last 10 games for Boston.

In the playoffs, the Celtics are 9-4, averaging 109.8 points, 41.3 rebounds, 25.2 assists, 7.1 steals and 5.4 blocks per game while shooting 45.2% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 103.1 points.

BETTING TRENDS

Miami are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 13 games.

Boston are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games.

Prediction

The Heat got destroyed by the Celtics in Game 2 and they'll now have to play 3 games in Boston. Miami have been profitable on the road this season with a 27-18-1 ATS record. The Celtics are a tough team to beat at home but they're only 21-24-2 ATS this season playing in Boston. I don't think the Heat will play that bad again also they are 7-3 ATS when the spread was +5 to +8. Expect a close game in Game where the Heat should cover.

PICK: Heat +6.5 (-110)

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