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WNBA Prediction: Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty 

Introduction

Get ready for an exciting WNBA matchup as the Phoenix Mercury (3-12) take on the New York Liberty (11-4) on July 5, 2023. In this comprehensive prediction article, we will provide an in-depth review of both teams, analyzing their offensive and defensive strengths, injury updates, recent performance, and head-to-head matchups. 

Team Analysis

Phoenix Mercury

The Phoenix Mercury have had a challenging season so far, with a 3-12 record. Despite their struggles, the team possesses offensive firepower led by six-time All-Star Brittney Griner. Griner has been a dominant force in the league, averaging 19.8 points per game, and her ability to score inside the paint makes her a tough matchup for any opponent. The Mercury's field goal percentage of 44.7% showcases their scoring efficiency. However, their defense has been a concern, allowing an average of 85.8 points per game. Improving their defensive efforts and rebounding will be crucial for the Mercury to stay competitive in this matchup.

New York Liberty

The New York Liberty have been one of the top teams in the league this season, boasting an impressive 11-4 record. Led by WNBA superstar Breanna Stewart, who is averaging 22.0 points per game, the Liberty's offense has been explosive. Stewart's versatility, scoring ability, and defensive presence make her a standout player. The Liberty also have a strong supporting cast, including guard Sabrina Ionescu and forward Betnijah Laney, who contribute significantly to the team's offensive success. Defensively, the Liberty have been solid, holding opponents to an average of 80.3 points per game. Their ability to disrupt passing lanes and force turnovers has been a key factor in their success.

Injury Updates

Heading into this game, both teams have relatively healthy rosters, with no major injury setbacks affecting their lineup. This is a positive sign for both teams as they aim to field their best players and execute their game plans effectively.

Prediction

Based on our analysis of both teams, we believe the Phoenix Mercury will cover the +14.5 points spread in this matchup against the New York Liberty. Despite the Mercury's struggling record, their offensive firepower, led by Brittney Griner, gives them the ability to keep the game competitive and potentially narrow the margin. Additionally, the Liberty's average winning margin of only 7 points suggests that the Mercury can stay within the +14.5 points spread.

With players like Griner stepping up and the potential return of key players from injury, the Mercury have a chance to make this game closer than anticipated. While the Liberty have been performing well this season, the Mercury's offensive capabilities cannot be underestimated, and they have the potential to challenge the Liberty's defense.

Pick: Mercury +14.5

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