Knicks vs Heat Game 1 Prediction NBA East Semifinals 4/30

Knicks vs Heat Game 1 Prediction NBA East Semifinals 4/30

© Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

 

Game Preview: Heat vs Knicks (Apr 30, 2023) Pregame

The Miami Heat are set to take on the New York Knicks in the Eastern Conference second round on Sunday at 1 p.m. EDT. The Knicks are the heavy favorites to win this match up, with an over/under set at 207.5 and a spread of Knicks-4. The Heat and Knicks have a long-standing rivalry, so this match up is sure to be an intense battle. Reigniting the Heat-Knicks rivalry, the two teams begin their second-round match up. Take a look back at the biggest moments from the Heat-Knicks rivalry of the late 90s. The Knicks went 3-1 against the Heat during the regular season, winning the last regular season matchup 101-92 on March 29. Immanuel Quickley led the Knicks with 24 points, and Gabe Vincent led the Heat with 21 points. The Knicks are 32-20 in conference games and rank second in the league with 46.6 rebounds led by Julius Randle averaging 10.0. Despite their regular season success, the Knicks cannot overlook the Heat, who are 8-2 in their last 10 games and averaging 122.7 points per game. Jalen Brunson is averaging 24 points, 4.8 assists, and 2.2 steals for the Knicks, and Jimmy Butler is averaging 27.4 points and 4.4 rebounds while shooting 63.5% over the last 10 games for Miami. There are some key injuries on both sides, with Isaiah Roby out for the Knicks (ankle) and Victor Oladipo out for the season for the Heat (knee).

 

Heat: Offensive Analysis

The Miami Heat will face off against the New York Knicks in the second round of the Eastern Conference. The Heat's offense has struggled this season, ranking last in the league in points per game with an average of just 109.5. However, they have been on a recent hot streak, winning 8 of their last 10 games and averaging 122.7 points per game. Leading the Heat's offense is Bam Adebayo, who is averaging 17.4 points per game, 8.6 rebounds, 5 assists, and 1.6 steals. Jimmy Butler has also been a key player for the Heat, averaging 27.4 points and 4.4 rebounds while shooting an impressive 63.5% over the last 10 games. However, the Heat's offense will have a tough time against the Knicks' defense, which ranks third in the league in points allowed per game with an average of just 110.2. The Knicks also excel at rebounding, ranking second in the league with 46.6 rebounds per game led by Julius Randle's average of 10.0. The Heat's shooting efficiency has also been a concern, ranking just 20th in the league with a shooting efficiency of 1.143. They will need to improve their shooting if they want to keep up with the Knicks' tough defense. In terms of injuries, Victor Oladipo is out for the season with a knee injury while Tyler Herro is out with a hand injury. This could be a significant blow to the Heat's already struggling offense. Overall, the Heat's offense will face a tough challenge against the Knicks' defense in this upcoming matchup. NBA experts and computer NBA picks may give the Heat lower odds of winning, but only time will tell which team will come out on top.

Heat: Defensive Analysis

As the Miami Heat prepare to take on the New York Knicks in the second round of the Eastern Conference playoffs, their defense will be a key factor in determining the outcome of the matchup. The Heat are known for their tough, physical defense and will need to bring their A-game against a Knicks team that has been playing well lately. The Heat's defense ranks third in the league in points allowed per game, giving up just 110.2 points per game. They also rank fourth in opponent fastbreak points per game and second in opponent points in the paint per game. This shows that the Heat are able to limit their opponents' transition opportunities and force them to take inefficient shots. Miami's defensive effort is led by Bam Adebayo, who is averaging 1.6 steals and 0.9 blocks per game this season. His ability to defend multiple positions and protect the rim will be crucial in slowing down the Knicks' offense. Jimmy Butler is also a strong perimeter defender who can take on the opposing team's top scorer. The Heat will need to focus on containing Julius Randle, who has had a breakout season and is averaging 24.1 points and 10.2 rebounds per game. Miami will likely throw multiple defenders at Randle and force him to make difficult passes and shots. Overall, the Heat's defense will need to be at its best to slow down the Knicks' offense and give their own offense a chance to score. If they can limit New York's scoring and force turnovers, they will have a good chance of advancing to the next round of the playoffs.

 

Knicks: Offense Analysis

The Knicks went 3-1 against the Miami Heat during the regular season, with the team winning their last matchup 101-92 on March 29. Immanuel Quickley led the Knicks with 24 points, while Gabe Vincent led the Heat with 21 points. The Knicks have been on a hot streak lately, winning seven of their last 10 games and averaging 112.5 points per game. Jalen Brunson has been a top performer for the Knicks, averaging 24 points, 4.8 assists, and 2.2 steals per game. Quickley has also been a force to be reckoned with, averaging 17.4 points in the last 10 games. New York ranks second in the league with 46.6 rebounds, led by Julius Randle averaging 10.0 rebounds per game. However, Randle is listed as day-to-day with an ankle injury. The Miami Heat, on the other hand, have struggled with the league's lowest-scoring offense, averaging 109.5 points per game. Bam Adebayo has been their top performer, averaging 17.4 points, 8.6 rebounds, five assists, and 1.6 steals per game. Jimmy Butler has also been hot lately, averaging 27.4 points and 4.4 rebounds while shooting 63.5% over the last 10 games. In terms of offense value, the Heat rank low in several categories, including points per game, effective field goal percentage, and three-point percentage. Meanwhile, the Knicks rank higher in assist-to-turnover ratio, and shooting efficiency. Overall, the Knicks' offense seems to have the edge heading into this matchup, but the Heat's defense could put up a tough fight. NBA picks and parlays experts will be closely watching this game, as it could be anyone's game to win.

Knicks: Defensive Analysis

The New York Knicks are set to host the Miami Heat to begin the Eastern Conference second round of the NBA Playoffs. The Knicks finished the regular season with a record of 47-35 and are fifth in the Eastern Conference, while the Heat finished with a record of 44-38 and are eighth in the Eastern Conference. New York went 3-1 against Miami during the regular season, with their last regular season matchup resulting in a 101-92 Knicks victory on March 29. Immanuel Quickley led the Knicks with 24 points, while Gabe Vincent led the Heat with 21 points. Defensively, the Knicks have been solid throughout the season. They are holding opponents to an average of 107.9 points per game while averaging 9.4 steals and 5.0 blocks per game. The team's opponents have shot 44.4% from the field against them. The Knicks are led defensively by Julius Randle, who is averaging 10.0 rebounds per game, and Quickley, who has been a force with 1.2 steals per game. Jalen Brunson has also been a key contributor for the Knicks with 2.2 steals per game. On the other hand, the Miami Heat have struggled offensively this season, averaging just 109.5 points per game. Their opponents have averaged 110.2 points per game against them. The team's opponents have shot 46.6% from the field against them. Miami is led defensively by Bam Adebayo, who is averaging 8.6 rebounds per game, and Jimmy Butler, who has been a force with 1.3 steals per game. The Heat will need to improve defensively if they want to compete with the Knicks in the second round of the playoffs. 

 

Injury Report

The Miami Heat will be missing two players for their second round matchup against the New York Knicks. Victor Oladipo is out for the season due to a knee injury, while Tyler Herro is out with a hand injury. On the other hand, the Knicks have a few players who are day-to-day or out for the season. Isaiah Roby is out with an ankle injury, Quentin Grimes is day-to-day with a shoulder injury, and both Julius Randle and Jericho Sims are day-to-day with ankle and shoulder injuries respectively. Sims is also out for the season due to his shoulder injury. These injuries may have an impact on the game, as the Heat will have to make do without two key players while the Knicks may be missing some of their regular contributors. It will be interesting to see how both teams adjust and perform given the circumstances. NBA picks experts, NBA picks computer models, and NBA picks em predictions may also take into account these injuries when making their NBA picks and parlay bets.

Player Team Position Injury Status
Isaiah Roby Knicks N/A Out (ankle)
Quentin Grimes Knicks N/A Day-to-day (shoulder)
Julius Randle Knicks N/A Day-to-day (ankle)
Jericho Sims Knicks N/A Out for season (shoulder)
Victor Oladipo Heat N/A Out for season (knee)
Tyler Herro Heat N/A Out (hand)

 

Betting Trends

The New York Knicks have been a popular pick among NBA experts and computers. They are currently favored by 4 points and have an over/under of 207.5 points. The Knicks went 3-1 against the Miami Heat during the regular season, and the last time they met, the Knicks won 101-92 on March 29th. In terms of trends, the Knicks have been on a roll in their last 10 games, going 7-3 and averaging 112.5 points per game. They have also been dominating the boards, ranking second in the league with 46.6 rebounds led by Julius Randle averaging 10.0. However, the Knicks have had some injury concerns with Isaiah Roby and Jericho Sims out for the season and Quentin Grimes and Julius Randle listed as day-to-day. On the other hand, the Heat have been performing well recently with an 8-2 record in their last 10 games and averaging 122.7 points per game. In terms of betting trends, the Knicks are 32-20 in conference games and have been favored by 4 points in this matchup. Meanwhile, the Heat have struggled against Eastern Conference opponents with a 24-28 record. The over/under of 207.5 points may be a good betting option as both teams have been averaging more than that in their recent games. Overall, both teams have been performing well, and it should be a competitive matchup.

 

Prediction:

The Miami Heat are set to take on the New York Knicks in the second round of the Eastern Conference playoffs, with the Knicks hosting the first series matchup. New York went 3-1 against Miami during the regular season, and with a strong record in conference games, they are looking like the favorites heading into this game. While the Heat have been playing well lately, averaging 122.7 points per game over their last 10 games, they have struggled against Eastern Conference opponents and have the lowest-scoring offense in the league, averaging just 109.5 points per game. On the other hand, the Knicks have been averaging 112.5 points per game over their last 10 games and have a strong defense, ranking third in the league in points allowed per game. With key players like Jalen Brunson and Immanuel Quickley leading the team, the Knicks should be able to cover the spread and come out with a victory.

 

Pick: Knicks (-4)  

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