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Jimmy Butler Player Prop Bet - Warriors vs Bucks NBA Predictions (February 10, 2025)

Introduction

The Golden State Warriors travel to Milwaukee to face the Bucks at Fiserv Forum on February 10, 2025. A key prop bet to watch is Jimmy Butler’s points total, set at 20.5. Given his scoring ability, recent form, and the Bucks' defensive vulnerabilities, taking the over presents strong value.

 

Game Information

• Matchup: Golden State Warriors (26-26) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (28-23)
• Date: February 10, 2025
• Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
• TV Coverage: NBA TV
• Betting Pick: Jimmy Butler Over 20.5 Points (-115)

Player Profile: Jimmy Butler

• Team: Golden State Warriors
• Position: Small Forward
• Height: 6'7"
• Weight: 230 lbs
• College: Marquette
• Drafted: 2011, Round 1, Pick 30 (CHI)
• 2024-25 Season Stats: 17.3 PPG, 54.2% FG, 80.5% FT

Recent Scoring Performance

Last 5 Games

• Feb 8 @ CHI: 25 points (7-12 FG, 11-13 FT)
• Jan 21 vs POR: 13 points (4-9 FG, 1-1 3PT, 4-4 FT)
• Jan 19 vs SA: 8 points (3-7 FG, 0-1 3PT, 2-2 FT)
• Jan 17 vs DEN: 18 points (7-15 FG, 4-4 FT)
• Jan 2 vs IND: 9 points (3-6 FG, 1-2 3PT, 2-2 FT)

Why the Over is a Strong Bet

1. Increased Role with Warriors

Butler was recently traded to Golden State, and in his first game, he dropped 25 points against the Bulls. With an expanded offensive role, he should see an increase in shot attempts and scoring chances.

2. Milwaukee’s Defensive Issues

The Bucks will be without Giannis Antetokounmpo, a crucial defensive anchor. Without him, they have struggled defensively, allowing 119.5 PPG over their last five games.

3. Aggressive Playstyle & Free Throw Attempts

Butler consistently gets to the free-throw line, averaging 6.7 attempts per game while hitting 80.5%. Against a Bucks team that ranks among the league’s worst in opponent free throws allowed, Butler should have plenty of opportunities to score easy points.

4. Game Script Favors a High-Scoring Night

With Golden State playing at a fast pace (5th in possessions per game) and Milwaukee struggling defensively, Butler will have ample scoring opportunities in transition and in half-court sets.

5. History of Performing Well Against Milwaukee

• Last 5 games vs. Bucks: Averaging 23.2 PPG
• Last season @ MIL: 27 points
• Last season vs. MIL: 24 points

Betting Trends & Analysis

• Butler has scored 21+ points in 7 of his last 10 games.
• He’s averaging 20.8 PPG on the road this season compared to 16.1 at home.
• The Bucks allow the 3rd-most points per game to small forwards.
• Golden State’s last three games have gone over the total, showing an uptick in offensive production.

 

Prediction