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Jalen Brunson Player Prop Bet - Knicks vs Pacers NBA Predictions (February 11, 2025)

Introduction

The New York Knicks travel to Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on February 11, 2025. A key prop bet to consider is Jalen Brunson’s points total, set at 26.5. Given Brunson’s recent offensive dominance and the Pacers’ defensive vulnerabilities, betting the over presents strong value.

 

Game Information

• Matchup: New York Knicks (34-18) vs. Indiana Pacers (29-22)
• Date: February 11, 2025
• Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
• TV Coverage: TNT / truTV / Max
• Betting Pick: Jalen Brunson Over 26.5 Points (-115)

Player Profile: Jalen Brunson

• Team: New York Knicks
• Position: Point Guard
• Height: 6'2"
• Weight: 190 lbs
• College: Villanova
• Drafted: 2018, Round 2, Pick 33 (DAL)
• 2024-25 Season Stats: 26.3 PPG, 49.0% FG, 39.8% 3PT, 81.9% FT

Recent Scoring Performance

Last 5 Games

• Feb 8 vs BOS: 36 points (10-18 FG, 3-7 3PT, 13-13 FT)
• Feb 4 @ TOR: 28 points (10-21 FG, 2-7 3PT, 6-8 FT)
• Feb 3 vs HOU: 42 points (14-27 FG, 1-4 3PT, 13-14 FT)
• Feb 1 vs LAL: 17 points (7-18 FG, 0-2 3PT, 3-7 FT)
• Jan 29 vs DEN: 30 points (10-16 FG, 3-6 3PT, 7-7 FT)

Why the Over is a Strong Bet

1. Brunson’s Recent Hot Streak

Brunson has been lighting up the scoreboard, averaging 30.8 PPG in February. He has exceeded 26.5 points in 4 of his last 5 games, including a 42-point explosion against Houston.

2. Pacers’ Defensive Struggles

Indiana allows 119.3 points per game (28th in the NBA), struggling to contain high-scoring guards. The Pacers' fast pace also leads to increased shot opportunities for opposing stars.

3. Volume Shooting & Efficiency

Brunson takes an average of 21 shots per game and is converting at a 49% rate. He also shoots 39.8% from three and 81.9% from the free-throw line, making him a highly efficient scorer.

4. Key Matchup Advantage

Brunson will be matched up against Tyrese Haliburton, an elite offensive player but a below-average defender. The Knicks' primary scorer should be able to exploit this matchup all night.

5. History vs. Indiana

• Last 5 games vs. Pacers: Averaging 31.2 PPG
• Last meeting (Nov 10, 2024): 33 points (11-17 FG, 1-2 3PT, 10-12 FT)

Betting Trends & Analysis

• Brunson has scored 27+ points in 7 of his last 10 games.
• He’s averaging 28.5 PPG on the road compared to 24.3 at home.
• The Pacers allow the most points to opposing point guards this season.
• The Knicks have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games when Brunson scores 30+.

 

Prediction