Heat vs Nuggets Game 4 Prediction NBA Finals 6/9

Heat vs Nuggets Game 4 Prediction NBA Finals 6/9

© Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports



The NBA Finals continue with the Denver Nuggets taking a 2-1 lead into Game 4 against the Miami Heat. In the previous meeting, the Nuggets secured a 109-94 victory, led by a stellar performance from Jamal Murray. However, the Heat are determined to bounce back and keep this game much closer than before. In this NBA prediction article, we will provide an extensive review of both teams, analyzing their offense, defense, and injury situations. Finally, we will explain our final prediction.


Denver Nuggets Offense

The Denver Nuggets have displayed an impressive offensive prowess throughout the season, averaging 112.2 points per game on the road and 119.4 points per game at home. With the exceptional playmaking skills of Nikola Jokic, who averages 24.5 points, 11.8 rebounds, and 9.8 assists, the Nuggets pose a significant scoring threat. Additionally, Jamal Murray has been exceptional in recent games, averaging 28.1 points over the last 10 games. Their ability to score in transition, averaging 16.2 fast break points per game, is a testament to their offensive efficiency.


Miami Heat Offense

While the Miami Heat's offense may not be as prolific as the Nuggets', they possess a strong defensive unit that compensates for their lower scoring output. The Heat average 109.5 points per game, three points fewer than the 112.5 points allowed by the Nuggets. Bam Adebayo has been a standout performer, shooting an impressive 54.0% and averaging 20.4 points. Gabe Vincent has also contributed to the Heat's offensive production, averaging 2.6 made three-pointers over the last 10 games. The Heat's emphasis on defense combined with their ability to execute timely baskets gives them a chance to stay competitive in this game.


Denver Nuggets Defense

Defensively, the Nuggets have shown resilience, particularly during their recent stretch of games. Over the last 10 games, they have held their opponents to an average of 107.7 points per game. With 43.9 rebounds and 4.1 blocks per game, they possess a formidable presence in the paint. However, the Nuggets will need to remain focused against the Heat's offensive threats, particularly Bam Adebayo and the Heat's three-point shooting. If they can maintain their defensive intensity, they will be in a strong position to secure another victory.


Miami Heat Defense

The Miami Heat take pride in their defense, which has been a cornerstone of their success. They have held opponents to an average of 105.8 points per game over the last 10 games, demonstrating their ability to limit scoring opportunities. With their strong defensive unit, they aim to disrupt the Nuggets' offensive flow and prevent them from capitalizing on their scoring potential. The Heat's ability to contest three-point shots and control the paint will be crucial factors in their bid to keep this game close.


Injury Situations

Both teams have dealt with injuries throughout the season, but heading into Game 4, the Nuggets have no players listed on the injury report. On the other hand, the Heat will be without the services of Victor Oladipo for the rest of the season due to a knee injury. Additionally, Tyler Herro is still sidelined with a hand injury. The absence of Herro, a valuable contributor off the bench, will place a greater onus on the remaining Heat players to step up and fill the void.



Considering the overall performance and strengths of both teams, the Miami Heat are poised to keep this game much closer than the previous encounter. The Nuggets hold a 2-1 lead in the series, but the Heat have shown resilience throughout the playoffs and have the ability to adapt their game plan. With an emphasis on defense and the offensive contributions of Bam Adebayo, the Heat can neutralize the Nuggets' scoring threats and make this a highly competitive contest.

Furthermore, the +3.5 spread provides an opportunity for the Heat to cover the point difference. Given their defensive prowess and the likelihood of a closely contested game, the Heat have a strong chance to keep it within the spread or even secure a victory. With the support of their home crowd, Miami's low-scoring offense will find ways to generate points and challenge the Nuggets' defensive efforts.

In conclusion, while the Nuggets hold the series lead, the Miami Heat are expected to put up a strong fight in Game 4 of the NBA Finals. Their defensive capabilities and the offensive contributions of key players position them to keep the game close and cover the +3.5 spread. It will be a thrilling matchup that could go down to the wire, showcasing the resilience and determination of both teams.


Pick: Miami Heat +3.5

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