Heat vs Knicks NBA Prediction, Pick and Preview 03/03/23

Heat vs Knicks NBA Prediction, Pick and Preview 03/03/23

 

Odds

Time 8:00 p.m. EST
Knicks money line -116
Knicks spread -1.5 (-110)
Heat money line -105
Heat spread +1.5 (-110)
Over / under 215.5

 

2022-2023 season stats

  New York Knicks Miami Heat
Record 37-27 33-30
Road / home record 18-12 19-11
Streak W7 L1
Points per game 114.00 107.00
Points allowed per game 111.00 108.00
Rebounds per game 42.00 44.00
Rebounds allowed per game 43.00 43.00
Over / under record 33-29-2 27-35-1
 

Preview

The New York Knicks hit the road and will visit the Miami Heat at the Miami-Dade Arena on Friday night. These teams already faced each other earlier this season in New York where the Knicks took the win 106-104. Barrett rebounded from a late-game benching with 30 points, Isaiah Hartenstein made big plays on both ends of the floor in the final minute to win the game. Julius Randle added 23 points, 10 rebounds and six assists.

 

New York Knicks

The New York Knicks have had a solid season thus far, with a 37-27 overall record and a road record of 18-12. While their record places them in the middle of the pack in the NBA, they have a respectable standing within their division, ranking fourth in the Atlantic.

The Knicks have fared well against their Eastern Conference opponents, with a record of 26-16. However, they have struggled to rack up assists and currently sit at the bottom of the Eastern Conference with an average of 22.5 assists per game.

In their last game, Julius Randle and Brunson combined for 53 points to lead the Knicks to an easy 122-101 victory over the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday night, marking their third consecutive win before the All-Star break. With this victory, New York now boasts a record of 33-27, six games above .500, and the team is feeling confident about its chances for the rest of the regular season.

Julius Randle is leading the charge on the offensive end for the New York Knicks, averaging an impressive 24.7 points per game on 46% shooting from the floor. However, the team has struggled with their three-point shooting, only connecting on 34.6% of their attempts from deep, which ranks 23rd in the league. The team has also struggled with their free-throw shooting, making only 77% of their attempts, which ranks 23rd in the league as well.

On the defensive end, the Knicks have been holding their opponents to an average of 112.5 points per game and a shooting percentage of 45.6%, which is the 12th best in the league in terms of points surrendered per game and the third best in terms of shooting percentage allowed. The team ranks 18th in adjusted defensive rating. The Knicks have shown they're strong in contesting shots both inside and outside the paint, with their opponents shooting only 34.9% from deep, the sixth lowest three-point shooting percentage allowed. The team has also been grabbing rebounds at a high rate, averaging 46.8 per game, which is the third-highest in the NBA.

Over their past 10 games, the Knicks have achieved a record of 9 wins and 1 loss, maintaining a strong offensive performance by averaging 118.2 points per game. They have also demonstrated impressive defensive capabilities, with 45.2 rebounds, 21.8 assists, 4.8 steals, and 2.9 blocks per game. Additionally, their shooting accuracy has been noteworthy, with a field goal percentage of 48.0%. Although their opponents have managed to score an average of 113.0 points per game, the Knicks' recent performances have showcased their ability to compete at a high level and achieve favorable outcomes.

Miami Heat

The Miami Heat's performance in Eastern Conference play has been somewhat inconsistent, with a record of 16-20. While they have struggled to maintain a positive record, they have proven to be a force to be reckoned with in close games. The team has an impressive record of 13-7 in one-possession contests, which is a testament to their resilience and ability to perform under pressure.

One key factor contributing to the Heat's success in close games is the standout performance of Bam Adebayo. Adebayo has been a consistent force on both ends of the court, averaging an impressive 21.6 points, 10 rebounds, and 3.3 assists per game. His ability to make clutch plays and step up in important moments has been crucial to the Heat's success in close games.

Jimmy Butler has also been a key contributor to the team's recent success. Over the last 10 games, Butler has been averaging 20.9 points per game, which has helped to bolster the team's offense. However, the Heat have been dealing with several injuries that have hampered their performance in recent games. Victor Oladipo is currently day-to-day with an ankle issue, while Kyle Lowry is out due to a knee injury. Nikola Jokic is also out with a back injury, while Omer Yurtseven is out with an ankle issue. Tyler Herro is another player who is day-to-day with a knee problem. These injuries have made it challenging for the Heat to maintain their momentum and achieve greater success on the court.

Despite the injuries, the Heat have maintained a record of 4-6 in their most recent stretch of 10 games. During this time, they have averaged 107.9 points, 40.4 rebounds, and 23.2 assists per game. Their defensive efforts have also been commendable, with an average of 8.2 steals and 3.3 blocks per game. However, their opponents have managed to score an average of 109.0 points against them, indicating that the team's defense will need to improve if they hope to achieve greater success in upcoming games.

Looking ahead, the Heat will need to continue to rely on the strong performances of Adebayo and Butler, as well as the rest of their roster, in order to overcome their injury woes and maintain their competitive edge. They will also need to focus on shoring up their defensive efforts, particularly in the areas of rebounding and limiting their opponents' scoring opportunities. If they can stay healthy and maintain their defensive intensity, the Heat have the potential to make a strong push in the Eastern Conference and secure a spot in the playoffs.

INJURIES: Jimmy Butler is questionable.

 

BETTING TRENDS

New York are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games.

New York are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games.

New York are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games against Miami.

New York are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games against Miami.

New York are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games on the road.

New York are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami.

Miami are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games.

Miami are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games.

Miami are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games at home.

Miami are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference.

 

Prediction

The New York Knicks have been in solid form lately, with a record of 9 wins and 1 loss in their last 10 games, and are feeling confident about their chances for the rest of the regular season. They have been performing well on both the offensive and defensive ends, with Julius Randle leading the team in scoring and strong defensive efforts in limiting their opponents' shooting percentages and grabbing rebounds. Furthermore, the Knicks have a strong betting trend in their favor, going 7-0 ATS and SU in their last 7 games.

On the other hand, the Miami Heat have struggled with injuries to several key players, including Jimmy Butler being questionable for this game. While Bam Adebayo has been a consistent performer for the team, the Heat's recent form has been somewhat inconsistent, with a 4-6 record in their last 10 games. The team has also struggled with their defense, allowing their opponents to score an average of 109.0 points against them.

Considering these factors, it is possible to predict that the Knicks are likely to win this game, especially if Jimmy Butler doesn't play. The Knicks have been in better form lately and have a strong betting trend in their favor. Additionally, the Heat's injuries and defensive struggles could make it challenging for them to secure a victory.

 

PICK: Knicks ML (-116)

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