Experts NBA picks - Suns vs Kings March 11, 2023

Experts NBA picks - Suns vs Kings March 11, 2023



Time 9:00 p.m. EST
Kings money line +130
Kings spread +3 (-110)
Suns money line -150
Suns spread -3 (-110)
Over / under 237


2022-2023 season stats

  Sacramento Kings Phoenix Suns
Record 39-26 37-29
Road / home record 18-13 22-10
Streak W2 W4
Points per game 121.00 113.00
Points allowed per game 118.00 110.00
Rebounds per game 44.00 46.00
Rebounds allowed per game 46.00 42.00
Over / under record 32-32-1 30-33-3


The Phoenix Suns will host the Sacramento Kings on Saturday, March 11th, in what promises to be an exciting matchup between two high-scoring teams. The Kings are currently sitting in third place in the Western Conference with a record of 39-26, while the Suns are just behind them in fourth place with a record of 37-29. Both teams have been in good form recently, making this a game to watch for basketball fans. In this article, we will provide an in-depth analysis of both teams, their strengths and weaknesses, and make a final prediction. If you're looking for expert advice on tonight's game, be sure to check out our NBA Experts picks with spread on


Sacramento Kings

The Kings have been the surprise this season, with a record of 39-26 and a second-place ranking in the Western Conference. They have won 26 out of 40 Western Conference games, which is a promising record as they're in the second half of the season. One of the strengths of the Kings this season has been their ability to share the ball, as they are ranked fifth in the NBA with an average of 26.8 assists per game. Domantas Sabonis has been a key player for the Kings, leading the team with an average of 6.9 assists per game.

De'Aaron Fox scored 36 points, including six free throws in the final 18.4 seconds of overtime, leading the Sacramento Kings to a 133-128 victory over the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday night. Fox was effective on both ends of the court, with 26 of his points coming in the fourth quarter and overtime, and he also played solid defense. Domantas Sabonis had a double-double with 22 points and 14 rebounds, while Terence Davis contributed 22 points off the bench and Kevin Huerter added 15. Kings coach Mike Brown praised the team's defense and individual performances in the game.

The Sacramento Kings have been led by the dynamic play of De'Aaron Fox on the offensive end of the court. Fox has been averaging an impressive 24.6 points per game on 50.6% shooting from the floor. But Fox is not the only weapon in the Kings' arsenal. The team has demonstrated that they have snipers throughout their roster, with a three-point shooting percentage of 36.5%, which is the 10th-highest in the league. The Kings have also been effective at the free-throw line, hitting 80.1% of their shots. This is the seventh-highest team free-throw shooting percentage in the league, which is essential for securing crucial points and winning games.

Despite their impressive offensive play, the Kings have struggled on the defensive end of the court. They have allowed an average of 117.1 points per game, with their opponents shooting 49.2% from the floor. These stats place the Kings at the 23rd most points surrendered per game and the 28th-lowest shooting percentage allowed. Additionally, according to, the Kings have the 25th-lowest adjusted defensive rating in the NBA. One of their biggest challenges has been their inability to consistently contest shots, both near the rim and on the perimeter. Opponents have been shooting 36.8% from behind the arc, which is the 23rd-lowest three-point shooting percentage allowed.

On the rebounding front, the Kings have been averaging 41.8 rebounds per game, which is the 23rd most in the league. However, the Kings have some talented players in this area, such as Richaun Holmes and Marvin Bagley III, who have been able to make up for some of the team's rebounding deficiencies.

In conclusion, while the Kings have shown their offensive prowess this season, they will need to focus on improving their defense and rebounding if they hope to compete with the best teams in the league. With talented players such as De'Aaron Fox and Marvin Bagley III, the Kings have the potential to make significant strides in these areas and become a force to be reckoned with.

In their last 10 games, the Kings are 7-3, averaging 129.1 points, 43.1 rebounds, 24.8 assists, 7.9 steals and 3.3 blocks per game while shooting 49.0% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 126.8 points per game.


Phoenix Suns

The Phoenix Suns have been one of the top teams in the Western Conference this season. While much of the attention has been on other teams like the Golden State Warriors and the Utah Jazz, the Suns have quietly put together a strong season and look like a team that could make a deep playoff run.

One of the main reasons for the Suns' success this season has been their defense. The team is third in the league in points allowed, giving up just 110.9 points per game. This is in large part due to their ability to defend the three-point line, as they are holding opponents to just 33.6% shooting from beyond the arc, the best mark in the league. This is a testament to the team's strong perimeter defenders, who are able to contest shots and make it difficult for opponents to get good looks from long range.

Offensively, the Suns are led by their star guard, Devin Booker. Booker is averaging 27.3 points per game over the last 10 games and is a dynamic scorer who can get hot from beyond the arc. He has the ability to take over games and is one of the most exciting players to watch in the league. Alongside Booker is center Deandre Ayton, who has been a dominant force in the paint this season. Ayton is averaging 18.2 points and 10.2 rebounds per game and has been a solid rim protector for the Suns. His ability to control the paint has been crucial to the team's success this season.

In addition to Booker and Ayton, the Suns have a number of other talented players who can make an impact on the game. Chris Paul is a veteran point guard who has been a steadying presence for the team, averaging 12.7 points and 8.4 assists per game. He is a master of the pick-and-roll and has a knack for finding his teammates in the right spots on the court. Mikal Bridges has also been solid for the Suns, averaging 14.4 points per game while shooting 39.8% from three-point range. Bridges is a versatile player who can defend multiple positions and has become a reliable scorer for the Suns.

Overall, the Suns are a well-rounded team that has been able to win games on both ends of the court. Their defense has been particularly impressive, as they have been able to shut down some of the best offenses in the league. They have a number of talented players who can make an impact on the game, and their depth has been one of their biggest strengths this season.

INJURIES: Landry Shamet: out (foot), Kevin Durant: out (ankle).



Sacramento are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games.

The total has gone OVER in 10 of Sacramento's last 14 games.

Sacramento are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games.

Sacramento are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Phoenix.

Sacramento are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix..

Phoenix are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games.

Phoenix are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 10 games against Sacramento.

Phoenix are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games at home.



This game has all the makings of a high-scoring affair, with both teams boasting potent offenses. The Kings have been particularly hot recently, averaging 130.5 points per game over their last 10 games. The Suns, meanwhile, have been solid on both ends of the court and will be looking to continue their strong play.

Ultimately, I predict that this game will be a shootout, with both teams putting up big numbers. The over of 237 points should cash easily. While both teams are capable of winning, I give the edge to the Suns, who have been one of the best teams in the Western Conference this season. Devin Booker is a dynamic scorer who can take over games, and Deandre Ayton has been a dominant force in the paint. The Suns' defense should also give them an advantage in this game, as they have been one of the best teams in the league at defending the three-point line.

That being said, the Kings are a talented team with a high-powered offense that should be able to keep this game close. De'Aaron Fox and Tyrese Haliburton are a dangerous backcourt duo who can score from anywhere on the court, and Domantas Sabonis has been a versatile big man who can do it all. Buddy Hield is also a solid scorer who can knock down shots from beyond the arc.

In the end, I predict that the Suns will come out on top in a closely contested battle, with a final score of 124-118. The over of 237 points should cash easily, as both teams should be able to put up big numbers in this high-scoring affair.


PICK: Over 237 (-110)


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