Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 4 (5/4): NBA

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 4 (5/4): NBA

Credit: photo by Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 10:00 p.m. EST
Mavericks money line +210
Mavericks spread +6
Suns money line -250
Suns spread -6
Over / under 216

 

2021-2022 season stats

  Dallas Mavericks Phoenix Suns
Record 56-33 69-20
Road / home record 25-20 35-10
Streak L1 W3
Points per game 107.87 114.66
Points allowed per game 104.52 107.57
Rebounds per game 42.60 44.69
Rebounds allowed per game 43.79 44.57
Over / under record 34-53-2 46-43

Preview

The Phoenix Suns and the Dallas Mavericks will play the Game 2 of the Western Conference semifinals on Wednesday night. The Suns beat the Mavs 121-114 in Game 1. Deandre Ayton scored 25 points, Devin Booker added 23.

Dallas Mavericks

The Mavericks have won 4 of their last 6 games and are 25-20 ont he road this season. They have a 56-33 record overall ranking 2nd in the Southwest. The Mavericks have gone 40-19 against Western Conference opponents. Dallas scores 108.0 points and has outscored opponents by 3.3 points per game.

Doncic is shooting 45.7% and averaging 28.4 points for the Mavericks. Dorian Finney-Smith is averaging 3.1 made 3-pointers over the last 10 games for Dallas.

In their last 10 games the Mavericks are 7-3, averaging 113.1 points, 39.7 rebounds, 21.9 assists, 6.7 steals and 2.5 blocks per game while shooting 47.7% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 102.6 points.

Phoenix Suns

The Suns have won 4 of their last 5 games and are 35-10 at home ranking first in the Western Conference with a 69-20 record overall, the best in the league. The Suns have gone 39-13 against Western Conference opponents. Phoenix ranks eighth in the NBA allowing just 107.3 points per game while holding opponents to 44.4% shooting.

Ayton is averaging 17.2 points and 10.2 rebounds for the Suns. Chris Paul is averaging 21.1 points over the last 10 games for Phoenix.

In their last 10 games, the Suns are 6-4, averaging 111.8 points, 41.5 rebounds, 27.1 assists, 7.7 steals and 4.2 blocks per game while shooting 48.9% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 110.7 points per game.

BETTING TRENDS

Dallas are 4-16 ATS in their last 20 games against Phoenix.

Dallas are 0-10 SU in their last 10 games against Phoenix.

Phoenix are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games at home.

Phoenix are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas.

Prediction

The Suns will get here with a lot of confidence after winning in Game 1. They're winning the 77% of the time this season and have won their last 6 games playing at home vs Dallas. The Mavs will have to make some adjustments and they're going to need to help a lot more to Doncic if they want to beat the Suns. I think the Suns will be too much again for the Mavs.

PICK: Suns -6 (-110)

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