Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 18 (5/18): NBA
- A Plus Picks
- May 18, 2022, 2:14:26 AM
Credit: photo by Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
Odds
| Time | 9:00 p.m. EST |
| Mavericks money line | +180 |
| Mavericks spread | +4.5 |
| Warriors money line | -220 |
| Warriors spread | -4.5 |
| Over / under | 214.5 |
2021-2022 season stats
| Dallas Mavericks | Golden State Warriors | |
| Record | 60-35 | 61-32 |
| Road / home record | 26-22 | 37-10 |
| Streak | W2 | W1 |
| Points per game | 107.62 | 111.38 |
| Points allowed per game | 104.49 | 106.02 |
| Rebounds per game | 42.19 | 45.26 |
| Rebounds allowed per game | 43.78 | 42.72 |
| Over / under record | 36-57-2 | 42-49-2 |
Preview
The Golden State Warriors and the Dallas Mavericks will play the Game 1 of the Western Conference finals at the Chase Center on Wednesday night. The Mavs beat the Suns in 7 games while the Warriors beat the Grizzlies in 6.
Dallas Mavericks
The Mavericks have won 4 of their last 5 games and are 26-22 on he road this season. They have a 60-35 record overall ranking 2nd in the Southwest. The Mavericks have gone 44-21 against Western Conference opponents. Dallas scores 107.6 points and has outscored opponents by 3.3 points per game.
Doncic is averaging 28.4 points, 9.1 rebounds and 8.7 assists for the Mavericks. Jalen Brunson is averaging 20.9 points over the last 10 games for Dallas.
In their last 10 games the Mavericks are 6-4, averaging 105.2 points, 39.7 rebounds, 21.9 assists, 6.7 steals and 2.5 blocks per game while shooting 47.7% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 100.4 points.
Golden State Warriors
The Warriors have won 3 of their last 4 games and are 37-10 at home ranking first in the Western Conference with a 71-23 record overall, the best in the league. The Warriors have gone 41-22 against Western Conference opponents. Golden State ranks eighth in the NBA allowing just 107.3 points per game while holding opponents to 44.4% shooting.
Stephen Curry is averaging 25.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 6.3 assists for the Warriors. Jordan Poole is averaging 4.4 made 3-pointers over the last 10 games for Golden State.
In their last 10 games the Warriors are 7-3, averaging 113.3 points, 46.4 rebounds, 25.9 assists, 6.4 steals and 3.9 blocks per game while shooting 46.3% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 110.5 points.
BETTING TRENDS
Dallas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Golden State.
Dallas are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against Golden State.
Golden State are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Golden State's last 12 games.
Prediction
The Mavericks beat the #1 ranked team in the NBA in the first round of the playoffs and Luka Doncic is looking unstoppable. They're 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 games against the Warriors. Golden State struggled against the Grizzlies without Ja Morant and have failed to cover the spread in 6 of their last 8 games. However, the Warriors have been completely dominant on the defensive end of the floor when they play at home and should be able to slow down Doncic. I'm taking the Warriors.
PICK: Warriors -4.5 (-110)
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