Celtics vs Mavericks Prediction Game 5 NBA Finals Picks 6/17

Celtics vs Mavericks Prediction Game 5 NBA Finals Picks 6/17



NBA Finals - Game 5 Preview and Prediction

Celtics lead series 3-1

Game Odds

Odds by ESPN BET

Time Spread Total Moneyline
5:30 PM DAL +6.5 (-105) o209.5 (-110) +220
- BOS -6.5 (-115) u209.5 (-110) -270

Game Overview

The Dallas Mavericks (50-32) will face the Boston Celtics (64-18) in Game 5 of the NBA Finals on June 17, 2024, at 5:30 PM EST at TD Garden in Boston, MA. The Celtics currently lead the series 3-1, putting them one win away from clinching their 18th NBA championship. However, the Mavericks displayed remarkable resilience in Game 4, securing a 122-84 victory to stave off elimination and extend the series.


Team Statistics

Dallas Mavericks

The Mavericks are led by Luka Doncic, who has been phenomenal throughout the playoffs, averaging 33.9 points, 9.2 rebounds, and 9.8 assists per game. Doncic's performance is crucial for Dallas, as he is the primary catalyst for their offense. Additionally, the Mavericks have a strong supporting cast, with key players like Kyrie Irving contributing significantly in clutch moments.

Boston Celtics

The Celtics are spearheaded by Jayson Tatum, who averages 26.9 points, 8.1 rebounds, and 5.2 assists per game. Derrick White has also been instrumental, especially on the defensive end, where his ability to disrupt the Mavericks' backcourt has been vital. Boston's depth and versatility make them a formidable opponent, with multiple players capable of stepping up in crucial situations.


Injuries and Player Matchups

Both teams have key players whose status may impact the game.

Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic is listed as a game-time decision. His participation is critical for the Mavericks' chances.

Greg Brown III remains out for the season.

Boston Celtics

Kristaps Porzingis is listed as a game-time decision. His return could provide a significant boost to the Celtics' frontcourt.


Recent Performances

Dallas Mavericks

The Mavericks rebounded strongly in Game 4 with a decisive 122-84 victory, showcasing their ability to compete at a high level when their backs are against the wall. Prior to that, they struggled in the first three games, losing by narrow margins in Games 2 and 3, and by a larger margin in Game 1. Their performance in Game 4 indicates that they have the potential to push the series further if they can maintain that level of play.

Boston Celtics

The Celtics have been dominant throughout the series, securing convincing wins in the first three games. Their Game 4 loss, however, revealed vulnerabilities that the Mavericks exploited effectively. Boston will look to bounce back and close out the series at home, leveraging their strong home-court advantage where they have been nearly unbeatable this season.


Matchup Analysis

Game 5 will be a test of the Mavericks' resolve and the Celtics' ability to handle pressure. Dallas' success hinges on Luka Doncic's performance and their ability to defend against Boston's balanced offensive attack. Boston, on the other hand, will rely on their depth and the home crowd to propel them to victory. Key matchups to watch include Doncic versus Tatum and the battle of the benches, where the depth of each team will be critical.



For Game 5 of the NBA Finals, the prediction is for the Dallas Mavericks to cover the spread of +6.5. Here's why:

  • Momentum from Game 4: The Mavericks' dominant win in Game 4 (122-84) provides a confidence boost. They have shown they can compete and win against the Celtics.
  • Competitive Edge: Dallas has proven they can play well under pressure. With their season on the line, expect them to deliver a strong performance to extend the series.
  • Luka Doncic's Impact: Assuming Doncic plays, his ability to influence the game significantly boosts Dallas' chances. His leadership and scoring are crucial.
  • Underdog Advantage: Being the underdog can work in the Mavericks' favor, as they have less pressure and more motivation to prove themselves and force a Game 6.

Considering these factors, betting on the Mavericks to cover the +6.5 spread appears favorable for Game 5 of the NBA Finals.

Pick: Mavericks +6.5

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