Celtics vs Mavericks Prediction Game 1 NBA Finals Picks 6/6

Celtics vs Mavericks Prediction Game 1 NBA Finals Picks 6/6

© David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

 

NBA Finals: Celtics vs. Mavericks Game 1 Preview and Prediction

Boston, MA; June 6, 2024, 5:30 PM EST

Game Odds

Odds by ESPN BET

Time Spread Total Moneyline
5:30 PM BOS -6.5 (-110) o214.5 (-110) -240
- DAL +6.5 (-110) u214.5 (-110) +200

 

Game Overview

The Boston Celtics (64-18) host the Dallas Mavericks (50-32) for Game 1 of the NBA Finals on June 6, 2024, at 5:30 PM EST at the TD Garden in Boston. The Celtics are favored by 6.5 points, with the over/under set at 214.5 points. Boston has been dominant at home, boasting a 37-4 record at TD Garden this season.

 

Team Statistics

Boston Celtics

Jayson Tatum leads the Celtics with 26.9 points per game, supported by his 47.1% field goal shooting. Tatum also contributes 8.1 rebounds per game, making him a key player in both scoring and rebounding.

Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic is the Mavericks' standout performer, averaging 33.9 points and 9.8 assists per game. His all-around play has been crucial to Dallas' success this season.

Injuries and Player Matchups

Injuries can significantly impact game outcomes.

Boston Celtics

Kristaps Porzingis is listed as a game-time decision, which could impact the Celtics' frontcourt depth.

Dallas Mavericks

Olivier-Maxence Prosper is a game-time decision, while Greg Brown III is out for the season.

Recent Performances

Boston Celtics

The Celtics have been on a winning streak, taking their last five games, including a decisive Game 7 victory against the Indiana Pacers. Their consistent performance and ability to close out games highlight their championship potential.

Dallas Mavericks

The Mavericks have also shown resilience, winning four of their last five games, including a commanding 124-103 victory over the Minnesota Timberwolves to secure their spot in the Finals.

 

Prediction

For Game 1 of the NBA Finals, the prediction is for the Celtics to cover the spread of -6.5. Here’s why betting on Boston is a strong pick:

  • Home Court Dominance: The Celtics have an exceptional home record (37-4) this season. Playing at TD Garden provides a significant advantage, with the crowd's energy fueling their performance.
  • Defensive Prowess: Boston's defense has been a cornerstone of their success. They are capable of making critical stops and have the personnel to challenge Luka Doncic, limiting his effectiveness.
  • Depth and Versatility: The Celtics boast a deep roster with multiple scoring options. Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, and Derrick White provide a balanced offensive attack that can overwhelm opponents.
  • Recent Form: Boston has been in top form, winning their last five games with impressive performances. Their ability to execute in high-pressure situations bodes well for their chances in Game 1.
  • Injury Concerns for Dallas: With Kristaps Porzingis possibly playing and Dallas having injury concerns, the Celtics have the edge in available talent and matchups. This disparity could play a crucial role in the game's outcome.

Considering these factors, it is reasonable to expect the Celtics to cover the -6.5 spread and start the NBA Finals with a decisive victory.

Pick: Boston Celtics -6.5

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