NBA Player Prop Pick Review: Cade Cunningham Points vs Kings (April 7, 2025)

By LM Tipster | April 7, 2025

Introduction

On a busy Monday slate of NBA action, one of the day’s sharpest player prop targets was Detroit Pistons star guard Cade Cunningham. Priced at -115 on most major sportsbooks, Cunningham's line was set at 25.5 points heading into a critical matchup against the Sacramento Kings. This game carried postseason implications for the Pistons as they aim to secure a stronger position in the Eastern Conference playoff picture.

Cunningham has been one of the league's most consistent high-usage guards this season, entering this contest averaging 25.7 points per game. His ability to control the pace, operate in pick-and-rolls, and get to the line regularly made the over an attractive play — especially with Keegan Murray and Jake LaRavia ruled out for Sacramento.

Check out these articles for winning picks:

• NCAA Tournament Picks April 7, 2025: Florida vs Houston Prediction
• NHL Picks April 7, 2025: Best Bets, Predictions & Player Props for Tonight’s Games
• MLB Picks April 7, 2025: Best Bets, Predictions & Player Props for Every Game
• Newcastle United vs Leicester City Prediction Premier League 4/7
• Cade Cunningham Player Prop Bet: Pistons vs Kings Prediction 4/7
• NBA Picks April 7, 2025: Kings vs Pistons, 76ers vs Heat Predictions & Best Bets
• Best Bets April 7, 2025: 3-Team Parlay (MLB, NBA, NHL Picks)

Game Recap: Detroit Pistons 110, Sacramento Kings 102

The Pistons pulled out a crucial 110-102 win at home against the Kings, snapping Sacramento’s two-game winning streak. Cunningham led the way with a smooth 27-point outing on 11-of-21 shooting, hitting 2-of-5 from deep and converting 3-of-4 from the free-throw line. It was a composed, efficient effort from Detroit’s floor general, who also added 8 assists and 5 rebounds.

Cunningham opened the game hot, dropping 12 first-half points, and maintained aggression in the second half to seal the over by the mid-fourth quarter. This marks his fifth 25+ point game in the last seven outings and reinforces his recent form as a scoring leader for Detroit.

Why the Over Was the Smart Bet

• Recent Form: Entered the game averaging 27.3 PPG in March with a 48.5% FG rate.
• Defensive Matchup: Sacramento ranks bottom-10 in defensive efficiency against point guards.
• Game Script: Close spread (+6.5 DET) implied a competitive environment favorable for starters logging 35+ minutes.
• Usage Rate: With Jaden Ivey out, Cunningham has consistently posted a usage rate north of 30%.
• Line Value: 25.5 was a fair and beatable threshold given Cade's role and recent stats.

Prop Betting Trends to Note

Cunningham has hit the over on 25.5 points in 6 of his last 8 games. His volume shooting and high assist opportunities make him a nightly threat to cover both points and combo props. Additionally, when playing at home, his scoring average bumps up to 27.8 PPG with a higher True Shooting percentage.

What’s Next?

The Pistons continue to fight for playoff seeding in a congested Central Division. Cunningham’s role is only set to grow as they prepare for matchups against top-tier competition. Keep an eye on his scoring lines moving forward — particularly in games where Detroit lacks secondary scoring options.

Conclusion

Cade Cunningham proved the books wrong once again, cashing the over on his 25.5-point line with room to spare. His strong offensive command and leadership on the floor continue to deliver betting value. For prop bettors, he remains a top-tier target — especially against teams like Sacramento that struggle to defend dynamic lead guards.