Brooklyn Visits Atlanta, Aims to Stop Road Skid (2/26/2023)
- Feb 26, 2023, 11:50:13 AM
The Brooklyn Nets (34-25, fifth in the Eastern Conference) will travel to Atlanta to take on the Atlanta Hawks (30-30, eighth in the Eastern Conference) on Sunday at 3 p.m. EST. Brooklyn will aim to end its four-game road losing streak.
Analysis: Brooklyn Nets
The Brooklyn Nets have a 24-14 record against Eastern Conference opponents and a 7-2 record in games decided by less than 4 points. Their last 10 games have been underwhelming, with a 4-6 record, averaging 109.3 points, 39.6 rebounds, 22.4 assists, 6.2 steals, and 4.5 blocks per game, while shooting 45.2% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 117.2 points per game.
The top performers for the Nets are Mikal Bridges, who is averaging 17.6 points and 3.5 assists, and Cameron Thomas, who is averaging 14.7 points over the last 10 games for Brooklyn.
Injuries: Ben Simmons is out indefinitely with a knee injury.
Analysis: Atlanta Hawks
The Atlanta Hawks have a 18-19 record against Eastern Conference teams and are ranked sixth in the Eastern Conference with 10.6 offensive rebounds per game, led by Clint Capela averaging 4.1. In their last 10 games, they have a 5-5 record, averaging 120.3 points, 45.7 rebounds, 27.3 assists, 6.7 steals, and 5.2 blocks per game while shooting 48.5% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 117.9 points per game.
The top performers for the Hawks are Capela, who is averaging 12.1 points and 11.2 rebounds, and Dejounte Murray, who is averaging 2.3 made 3-pointers over the last 10 games for Atlanta.
Injuries: John Collins is out due to concussion protocol.
The Brooklyn Nets are 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games and the total has gone OVER in 9 of Brooklyn's last 13 games. However, they are only 2-5 SU in their last 7 games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games against Atlanta. Brooklyn is also 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road.
On the other hand, the Atlanta Hawks are 7-3 ATS and the total has gone OVER in 5 of their last 10 games. They are also 5-5 SU in their last 10 games.
The teams have played twice this season, with the Nets winning the last matchup 108-107 on Dec. 29. Brooklyn's Kyrie Irving scored 28 points to help lead the Nets to the win. Brooklyn has a 5-5 record against the spread in their last 10 games against Atlanta.
Pick: Brooklyn Nets +5.5
The Brooklyn Nets have a better record against Eastern Conference opponents and a slightly better record overall this season. They also won their last game against the Hawks. We believe that Brooklyn will cover the spread, but it will be a close game.
Pick: Brooklyn Nets Moneyline +190
We also believe that the Nets will win this won outright.
Prediction Pick: Over 231
With the total set at 231 points, we believe the Over is the better play in this game. Both teams are capable of putting up points, and neither team is known for playing lockdown defense. In addition, their previous two meetings this season have gone Over the total. Given the recent form of both teams, we expect this game to be a high-scoring affair with a final score in the range of 120-115 in favor of the Nets.
In conclusion, the Brooklyn Nets are the better team in this matchup, and we expect them to win and cover the spread. They have more talent and depth than the Hawks and have a better record against Eastern Conference opponents. The absence of John Collins for the Hawks is also a significant loss, as he is one of their best players. We believe the Nets will win by at least six points and that the game will go over the total. Our final prediction for this game is a 125-119 win for the Brooklyn Nets.
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