Best NBA Bets Today: Heat vs Cavaliers, March 8, 2023

Best NBA Bets Today: Heat vs Cavaliers, March 8, 2023

 

Odds

Time 7:30 p.m. EST
Cavaliers money line -132
Cavaliers spread -2 (-110)
Heat money line +105
Heat spread +2 (-110)
Over / under 212.5

 

2022-2023 season stats

  Cleveland Cavaliers Miami Heat
Record 41-26 35-31
Home / road record 28-7 21-12
Streak W1 L2
Points per game 111.00 117.00
Points allowed per game 106.00 112.00
Rebounds per game 42.00 44.00
Rebounds allowed per game 43.00 43.00
Over / under record 32-35 29-36-1
 

Preview

On Wednesday night, the Cleveland Cavaliers will look to build on their recent success when they take on the Miami Heat in a highly anticipated matchup at the FTX Center. The Cavaliers are coming off a hard-fought victory over the Boston Celtics, where they rallied from an 11-point deficit in the fourth quarter to secure a 118-114 win in overtime. This win was their second in their last three games, improving their record to 22-43 on the season. The Cavaliers have been a surprise team this year, and they will be looking to continue their impressive form against the Heat.

On the other side of the court, the Miami Heat will be looking to extend their two-game winning streak when they take on the Cavaliers. The Heat are coming off an impressive victory over the Atlanta Hawks, where they won 130-128 in overtime. This win was their third in their last five games, and it improved their record to 34-30 on the season. The Heat have been one of the most consistent teams in the league this year, and they will be looking to continue their strong form against the Cavaliers.

The tip for this game is scheduled for 7:40 PM ET, and Cleveland opens as a home favorite. Both teams will be eager to secure a win in this matchup, as they continue their push for a spot in the playoffs.

 

Cleveland Cavaliers

The Cleveland Cavaliers will be looking for revenge on Monday night after suffering a loss to the Miami Heat last week. Despite a hot streak leading up to the All-Star break, the Cavaliers have struggled recently, losing four of their last five games. However, they were able to get back on track with a convincing win over the Detroit Pistons on Saturday.

Cleveland's success this season has largely been due to their top-ranked defense, as their offense has struggled to produce points consistently. The team is averaging just 112.0 points per game, ranking them 26th in the league. However, they have been able to make up for this with their defensive prowess, holding their opponents to just 106.4 points per game.

Leading the way for the Cavaliers is their dynamic backcourt duo of Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland. Mitchell, who is averaging 27.4 points and 4.8 assists per game, suffered a sprained finger in the third quarter of Saturday's game but is expected to play on Monday night. Garland, who is averaging 22.0 points and 7.9 assists per game, has been a key contributor on both ends of the court.

The Cavaliers have also seen strong performances from rookie Evan Mobley, who has provided a valuable interior presence with his average of 15.9 points and 8.9 rebounds per game. With their solid defense and talented young players, the Cavaliers will look to get back on track and close the gap on the teams ahead of them in the Eastern Conference standings.

Over their last 10 games, the Cleveland Cavaliers have been playing solid basketball, with a record of 6-4. During this stretch, they have been averaging 113.0 points, 39.9 rebounds, 25.3 assists, 8.9 steals, and 4.8 blocks per game. Their impressive shooting percentage of 49.7% from the field has been a key factor in their success.

On the defensive end, the Cavaliers have been holding their opponents to an average of 105.9 points per game, a testament to their strong defensive play. Their ability to generate steals and blocks has also been crucial in disrupting their opponents' offense.

With a balanced offensive attack and a stifling defense, the Cavaliers have been a force to be reckoned with in their recent games. As they look to continue their success, they will need to maintain their strong play on both ends of the court.

 

Miami Heat

The Miami Heat's performance in Eastern Conference play has been somewhat inconsistent, with a record of 16-20. While they have struggled to maintain a positive record, they have proven to be a force to be reckoned with in close games. The team has an impressive record of 13-7 in one-possession contests, which is a testament to their resilience and ability to perform under pressure.

One key factor contributing to the Heat's success in close games is the standout performance of Bam Adebayo. Adebayo has been a consistent force on both ends of the court, averaging an impressive 21.6 points, 10 rebounds, and 3.3 assists per game. His ability to make clutch plays and step up in important moments has been crucial to the Heat's success in close games.

Jimmy Butler has also been a key contributor to the team's recent success. Over the last 10 games, Butler has been averaging 20.9 points per game, which has helped to bolster the team's offense. However, the Heat have been dealing with several injuries that have hampered their performance in recent games. Victor Oladipo is currently day-to-day with an ankle issue, while Kyle Lowry is out due to a knee injury. Nikola Jokic is also out with a back injury, while Omer Yurtseven is out with an ankle issue. Tyler Herro is another player who is day-to-day with a knee problem. These injuries have made it challenging for the Heat to maintain their momentum and achieve greater success on the court.

Despite the injuries, the Heat have maintained a record of 4-6 in their most recent stretch of 10 games. During this time, they have averaged 107.9 points, 40.4 rebounds, and 23.2 assists per game. Their defensive efforts have also been commendable, with an average of 8.2 steals and 3.3 blocks per game. However, their opponents have managed to score an average of 109.0 points against them, indicating that the team's defense will need to improve if they hope to achieve greater success in upcoming games.

Looking ahead, the Heat will need to continue to rely on the strong performances of Adebayo and Butler, as well as the rest of their roster, in order to overcome their injury woes and maintain their competitive edge. They will also need to focus on shoring up their defensive efforts, particularly in the areas of rebounding and limiting their opponents' scoring opportunities. If they can stay healthy and maintain their defensive intensity, the Heat have the potential to make a strong push in the Eastern Conference and secure a spot in the playoffs.

INJURIES: Love is questionable, Lowry is out.

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games.

Cleveland are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games.

Cleveland are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games against Miami.

Cleveland are 4-13 SU in their last 17 games against Miami.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road.

Cleveland are 1-19 SU in their last 20 games when playing on the road against Miami.

Cleveland are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference.

Miami are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games.

Miami are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games against Cleveland.

Miami are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games at home.

 

Prediction

Both teams have been playing solid basketball lately, and this game could be a low-scoring affair. Cleveland's defense has been the backbone of their success this season, as they have held their opponents to just 106.0 points per game. On the other hand, Miami has been a force to be reckoned with on offense, averaging 117.0 points per game, but they have also struggled on defense, allowing 112.0 points per game.

In addition, both teams have a similar record, with the Cavaliers sitting at 41-26 and the Heat at 35-31. Despite this, Cleveland is the favorite to win this game as they have a better home/road record, which could give them an advantage on the road. However, the Heat have been a resilient team, with a record of 13-7 in one-possession games, which is a testament to their ability to perform under pressure.

Given these statistics, it's likely that the game will be very tight, with neither team running away with the lead. It's also possible that the total points scored in this game will go under the 212.5 points line. Both teams are among the best defensive teams in the NBA, and they have been able to limit their opponents' scoring throughout the season. As a result, it's possible that this game will be a low-scoring affair, with both teams struggling to find the basket.

Overall, it's likely that the game will be very competitive, with both teams fighting hard for a win. The Cavaliers will be looking to continue their recent success and maintain their position in the Eastern Conference standings, while the Heat will be eager to extend their winning streak and secure a spot in the playoffs. In the end, the game could come down to which team is able to execute their game plan better and make the most of their opportunities on both ends of the court.

 

PICK: Under 212.5 (-110)

 

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