Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction, Pick and Preview, April 26 (4/26): NBA

Credit: photo by Brett Davis - USA TODAY Sports

Odds

Time	7 PM. EST
Hawks money line	+260
Hawks spread	+7.5
Heat money line	-320
Heat spread	-7.5
Over / under	217.5

 

 

2021-2022 season stats

	Atlanta Hawks	Miami Heat
Record	46-42	56-30
Road / home record	17-27	31-12
Streak	L1	W1
Points per game	113.3	110.1
Points allowed per game	112.1	105.2
Rebounds per game	43.8	43.6
Rebounds allowed per game	43.6	41.5
Over / under record	43-45	48-37-1

 

Preview

Miami Heat will be meeting Atlanta Hawks on Tuesday in Miami, This will be the fifth game in the first round for this matchup, Miami are leading 3-1 so far in this series and they have the chance to get it done at home tonight and with Jimmy Butler and the whole Heat team being in form and Trae Young being in a bad form last games I think this will be the last game in this series.

Atlanta Hawks continued the bad form in the last game even though they were at home but now they are playing in Miami and their chances are a lot less to do something here. Trae Young only had 9 points on 27% shooting from the field and Bogdanovic was held to only 4 points on 17% shooting in the game. Atlanta shot 40% from the field and 35% from the 3 Pointers in this game but they couldn't stop Miami's offense hence why they keep losing badly and they also get out rebounded in every game in this series so far.

Miami Heat played yet another great game winning 110-84 which puts them in a position to win the series tonight at home. Miami are playing great defense in this series which is why the O/U is 0-4 to the Under in this series so far as they held the Hawks below 100 points twice this series so far once at home and once away. Jimmy Butler played another outstanding game getting a double double of 36 points (57% shooting from the field) and 10 rebounds.

Trends

Atlanta are 10-5 ATS last 15 games.

Atlanta are 1-4 straight up last 5 games Vs Miami Heat.

Atlanta games have gone Under in 6 of last 6 games.

Atlanta are 10-5 straight up last 15 games.

Miami are 9-2 ATS last 11 games.

Miami games have gone Under in 5 of last 6 games.

Miami are 9-2 straight up last 11 games.

Miami are 5-0 ATS last 5 home games.

Head to Head

Miami Heat have won 6 of last 10 games and 4 wins for the Hawks with the ATS record also being 6-4 to the Heat in those 10 games, Miami Heat are leading this series 3-1 so far and they have covered all the 3 games that they have won. The O/U is 3-7 to the Under with the Hawks averaging 103.3 and Miami averaging 109.3 points a game.

Prediction

Miami Heat will be playing at home to end this series tonight, Atlanta Hawks have been struggling offensively in this series especially Trae Young who is really guarded well in this series. Miami's offense haven't been at its best either but they are great defensively and that's why I like this game to go under the total. Miami are 5-1 to the under last 6 games while Atlanta are 6-0 to the under, every game in this game went under and I like this game to be a defensive battle again so give me the under here.

Pick: Total Under 217.5 (-110)

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