Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction, Pick and Preview, April 17 (4/17): NBA

Credit: photo by Jasen Vinlove - USA TODAY Sports

Odds

Time	1 PM. EST
Hawks money line	+220
Hawks spread	+6.5
Heat money line	-250
Heat spread	-6.5
Over / under	219

 

 

2021-2022 season stats

	Atlanta Hawks	Miami Heat
Record	45-39	53-29
Road / home record	17-25	29-12
Streak	W3	L1
Points per game	114	110
Points allowed per game	112.1	105.5
Rebounds per game	44	45.4
Rebounds allowed per game	43.7	41.6
Over / under record	43-41	48-31-1

 

Preview

Miami Heat will be meeting Atlanta Hawks on Sunday in Miami, This will be the first game in the first round for those teams this season after the Hawks have beaten the Hornets and Cavaliers to get the 8th seed, They have played 4 times this season and Miami Heat have won 3 of those games (2 At home and 1 Away) with only 1 win for the Hawks which was at Home.

Atlanta Hawks are coming of a blow out win vs Charlotte Hornets 132-103 and then a big come back and win vs Cleveland Cavaliers 107-101 to get the 8th seed in the playoffs to face Miami Heat, Trae Young went off in last game scoring 38 points to get the Win for the Hawks even though Clint Capela had an injury in that game and he is out for this Miami game, Lou Williams is also out and Collins is questionable.

Miami Heat have been in a really good form last few games this season winning 6 out of last 7 games with only loss to the Magic in the last game of the season after they had already clinched the 1st seed. Adebayo, Tucker, Morris and so other players are questionable for this game but they should be good to go. Miami have already beaten Atlanta 3 times this season and they will try to get another dub at home this time.

Trends

Atlanta are 9-2 ATS last 11 games.

Atlanta are 4-8 straight up last 12 games Vs Miami Heat.

Atlanta games have gone Under in 6 of last 7 games.

Atlanta are 9-2 straight up last 11 games.

Miami are 6-1 ATS last 7 games.

Miami games have gone Over in 4 of last 5 games.

Miami are 6-1 straight up last 7 games.

Miami are 3-6 ATS last 9 home games this season.

Head to Head

Miami Heat have won 6 of last 10 games and 4 wins for the Hawks with the ATS record also being 6-4 to the Heat in those 10 games, Miami Heat are 3-1 on the season Vs the Hawks with 2 wins at Home and 1 away. The O/U is 5-5 with the Hawks averaging 108.6 and Miami averaging 111.7 points a game.

Prediction

No doubt that Miami Heat are the favourites to win this series as they are the 1st seed but I like the Hawks to keep this one close for many reasons, Miami haven't been covering ATS at home lately with only 3 covers out of last 9 games and Atlanta Hawks are in an incredible form right now winning an covering 9 out of last 11 games this season and blowing out the Hornets and then beat the Cavaliers by 6 points to get to the playoffs so I like them to keep it close and maybe even get a surprise win here.

Pick: Atlanta Hawks +6.5 (-110)

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