Aces vs Mystics Prediction WNBA Picks 8/31
- Lm Tipster
- Aug 31, 2023, 12:44:37 AM
© Candice Ward-USA TODAY Sports
Washington Visits Las Vegas After Young's 24-Point Performance
The Las Vegas Aces (30-6, 15-2 Western Conference) will host the Washington Mystics (17-18, 8-10 Eastern Conference) on Thursday at 10 p.m. EDT in Las Vegas. This is the third meeting between the two teams this season, with each team having claimed one victory.
Las Vegas Aces: A Closer Look
Stellar Home Record Yet Recent Stumbles
On paper, the Aces look invincible at home with a 16-1 record. However, their recent 6-4 form in the last ten games indicates they are not as impervious as their record suggests. The most glaring of these losses was their 94-85 setback against the New York Liberty, despite Jackie Young’s 24-point outburst. A'ja Wilson, a cornerstone of the Aces, has averaged 22 points and 9.5 rebounds this season but will need more support from her teammates to turn the tide.
Injuries Taking a Toll
With key players like Candace Parker (foot) and Riquna Williams (back) sidelined, the Aces are somewhat weakened, giving their opponents an opening.
Over-Reliance on Wilson and Gray
A'ja Wilson and Chelsea Gray have been the go-to players for the Aces. While Wilson leads in scoring and rebounding, Gray averages 7.2 assists per game. This heavy dependence may prove to be a disadvantage against a team like the Mystics, who have shown that they can contain the Aces' top performers.
Washington Mystics: A Comprehensive Overview
Previous Success and Road Struggles
The Mystics are 5-11 on the road, a stat that at first glance appears discouraging. However, they have a recent 78-62 win over the Aces to boost their confidence. Elena Delle Donne spearheaded that effort with 21 points, showcasing that the Mystics can never be counted out.
A Balanced Offensive Unit
Brittney Sykes and Natasha Cloud have been the Mystics' other standout performers. Sykes averages 15.5 points per game while Cloud has been crucial in facilitating the offense with an average of 5.9 assists per game. This balance could be key in unlocking the Aces' defense.
Injury Concerns
Kristi Toliver’s absence due to plantar fasciitis is a blow, but the Mystics have enough depth to manage without her. Other players will need to step up, making this game a potential platform for unsung heroes.
The Previous Matchups
In a season where the series is tied 1-1, the upcoming game holds more significance. The Mystics' 78-62 victory last month is fresh in the memories of both teams and will undoubtedly play a psychological role.
The Statistical Perspective
The Aces have averaged 87.7 points in their last 10 games but have allowed 84.9 points, a sign that their defense has been less than stellar. On the other hand, the Mystics have been defensively stronger, allowing only 82.6 points on average in their last 10 outings.
Prediction
Recent Form
The Aces' recent 6-4 run has shown they are vulnerable, especially on the defensive end. Their average margin of victory has diminished, and they've become susceptible to upsets, as seen in their recent loss to the New York Liberty.
Past Success for the Mystics
Having already defeated the Aces this season, the Mystics have the psychological edge. Elena Delle Donne’s 21-point performance in that game will be a beacon of hope for the Mystics and a point of concern for the Aces.
Why the +9.5 Points Spread Favors the Mystics
The Aces' recent struggles, combined with their injuries and over-reliance on key players, make the +9.5 points spread quite generous for the Mystics. The Mystics’ balanced attack and past success against the Aces put them in a strong position to at least keep the game close, if not win outright.
Final Thoughts
Given the Aces' recent form, injuries, and the Mystics' capability to defeat them, it is likely that the Mystics will cover the +9.5 points spread. While the Mystics may not win, the signs point to a competitive and close game.
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