76ers vs Heat NBA Prediction, Pick and Preview 02/27/23

76ers vs Heat NBA Prediction, Pick and Preview 02/27/23

 

Odds

Time 7:00 p.m. EST
76ers money line -250
76ers spread -6 (-110)
Heat money line +210
Heat spread +6 (-110)
Over / under 217.5

 

2022-2023 season stats

  Philadelphia 76ers Miami Heat
Record 39-20 32-19
Home / road record 24-9 13-19
Streak L1 L4
Points per game 114.00 108.00
Points allowed per game 110.00 108.00
Rebounds per game 42.00 44.00
Rebounds allowed per game 43.00 43.00
Over / under record 33-26 27-33-1
 

Preview

The Philadelphia 76ers continue at home and will host the Miami Heat at the Wells Fargo Center on Monday night. These teams haven't faced each other since last season in the playoffs where the Heat beat the Sixers in 6 games.

 

Philadelphia 76ers

The Philadelphia 76ers have had a good season so far, with a record of 39-20, which puts them in third place in the Eastern Conference. The team has a strong defense, with a defensive rating of 110.4, which ranks third in the Eastern Conference. Their defense will be put to the test against the Heat, who have the sixth-best offense in the league.

The 76ers are led by Joel Embiid, who is averaging 33.0 points per game, which ranks second in the NBA. He is also averaging 11.6 rebounds per game, which ranks sixth in the league. Embiid has been the driving force behind the 76ers' success this season, and he will be a player to watch in this game.

In addition to Embiid, the 76ers have a talented supporting cast, including James Harden, who is averaging 21.6 points per game and shooting 39.7% from beyond the arc. The 76ers will need a strong performance from their supporting cast to complement Embiid's play.

The 76ers have been playing well recently, winning seven of their last ten games, and they will look to carry that momentum into their game against the Heat.

In addition to their scoring output, the 76ers have also been dominant on the glass, grabbing an average of 40.4 rebounds per game. This rebounding prowess has allowed them to control the tempo of games and limit their opponents' second-chance opportunities.

Furthermore, the team has showcased its excellent passing skills, dishing out an average of 25.1 assists per game. This unselfish play has resulted in a high level of team cohesion and a diverse scoring output, with multiple players contributing in each game.

On the defensive end, the 76ers have been a formidable force, recording an average of 7.9 steals and 3.5 blocks per game. These statistics highlight the team's commitment to playing tenacious defense and disrupting their opponents' offensive flow.

Despite their recent success, the 76ers have faced some tough opponents and have allowed an average of 109.3 points per game over their last 10 games.

Miami Heat

The Miami Heat's performance in Eastern Conference play has been somewhat inconsistent, with a record of 15-17. While they have struggled to maintain a positive record, they have proven to be a force to be reckoned with in close games. The team has an impressive record of 12-7 in one-possession contests, which is a testament to their resilience and ability to perform under pressure.

One key factor contributing to the Heat's success in close games is the standout performance of Bam Adebayo. Adebayo has been a consistent force on both ends of the court, averaging an impressive 21.6 points, 10 rebounds, and 3.3 assists per game. His ability to make clutch plays and step up in important moments has been crucial to the Heat's success in close games.

Jimmy Butler has also been a key contributor to the team's recent success. Over the last 10 games, Butler has been averaging 20.9 points per game, which has helped to bolster the team's offense. However, the Heat have been dealing with several injuries that have hampered their performance in recent games. Victor Oladipo is currently day-to-day with an ankle issue, while Kyle Lowry is out due to a knee injury. Nikola Jokic is also out with a back injury, while Omer Yurtseven is out with an ankle issue. Tyler Herro is another player who is day-to-day with a knee problem. These injuries have made it challenging for the Heat to maintain their momentum and achieve greater success on the court.

Despite the injuries, the Heat have maintained a record of 4-6 in their most recent stretch of 10 games. During this time, they have averaged 107.9 points, 40.4 rebounds, and 23.2 assists per game. Their defensive efforts have also been commendable, with an average of 8.2 steals and 3.3 blocks per game. However, their opponents have managed to score an average of 109.0 points against them, indicating that the team's defense will need to improve if they hope to achieve greater success in upcoming games.

Looking ahead, the Heat will need to continue to rely on the strong performances of Adebayo and Butler, as well as the rest of their roster, in order to overcome their injury woes and maintain their competitive edge. They will also need to focus on shoring up their defensive efforts, particularly in the areas of rebounding and limiting their opponents' scoring opportunities. If they can stay healthy and maintain their defensive intensity, the Heat have the potential to make a strong push in the Eastern Conference and secure a spot in the playoffs.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Miami are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games.

Miami are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.

Miami are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against Philadelphia.

Miami are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against Philadelphia.

Miami are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on the road.

Miami are 4-13 SU in their last 17 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.

Philadelphia are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.

Philadelphia are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 11 games against Miami.

Philadelphia are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games at home.

Philadelphia are 13-4 SU in their last 17 games when playing at home against Miami.

 

Prediction

It is most likely that the game between the Philadelphia 76ers and the Miami Heat will be a low-scoring affair. Both teams have been playing solid defense this season, with the 76ers having the third-best defensive rating in the Eastern Conference, while the Heat have been averaging 8.2 steals and 3.3 blocks per game.

Additionally, the 76ers have been particularly dominant on the glass, with an average of 40.4 rebounds per game. This rebounding prowess has allowed them to control the tempo of games and limit their opponents' second-chance opportunities.

On the offensive side of the ball, the 76ers have been heavily reliant on Joel Embiid, who is averaging 33.0 points per game. However, the Heat have also been dealing with several injuries that have hampered their offensive output in recent games, particularly with Kyle Lowry out due to a knee injury.

Given the strong defensive play of both teams and the potential limitations on the Heat's offense, it seems likely that the total points scored in this game will be lower than usual. Therefore, the under bet could be a wise choice for those looking to wager on the game.

Furthermore, the 76ers have been dominant at home, winning 13 of their last 17 games when playing at the Wells Fargo Center. This home-court advantage could give them an edge over the Heat and could contribute to their ability to limit their opponent's scoring opportunities.

Overall, while the game could be closely contested, the low-scoring nature of the game could be the key factor in determining the outcome. With both teams playing solid defense, it could come down to which team is able to capitalize on their scoring opportunities and limit their opponent's offensive output. Take the under as the NBA pick today.

 

PICK: Under 217.5 (-110)

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