William Knight vs. Fabio Cherant Odds, Preview and Prediction (August 21): UFC

William Knight vs. Fabio Cherant Odds, Preview and Prediction (August 21): UFC

Odds
Time (Preliminary Card) 7:00 p.m. EST
William Knight money line -170
Fabio Cherant money line +145

 

Key stats
  William Knight Fabio Cherant
Height 5'10 6'1
Weigh 205 205
Reach 73" 76"
Record 9-2 7-2
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 3-2 3-2

 

Preview

When this line opened, William Knight was a near 3/1 favorite. Since then, the line has dropped, with the money coming in on Fabio Cherant. The reason for that isn’t because Cherant is necessarily the better fighter, but because the variables in this fight suggest a possibility of this being a crapshoot. Knight is coming off a loss, where he was taken down eight times and controlled for a little more than 12 minutes. Before the defeat, he had reeled off three straight stoppage victories. As for Cherant, a lackluster UFC debut saw him lose via submission in the opening round. Prior to that fight, he too had reeled off three straight victories.

Prediction

Despite the odds dropping in this fight, and I understand why, I’m still siding with William Knight. While his striking needs work, his offensive wrestling and smothering top control will be evident in winning this fight. Of course the intangibles of Fabio Cherant’s ground game, in particular, his submissions give pause for concern. However, Knight has yet to be submitted in his twenty combined professional and amateur fights.

Watching tape on Cherant, he is definitely a better striker than Knight. The one problem I see for him in this fight which led me to siding with Knight, is his takedown defense. When engaged in the clinch or being taken down, Cherant looks to lock up a submission. That gives way for Knight to take Cherant down, pop out of the submission and control Cherant for the round. Something I expect to happen for all three rounds, as Knight grinds out a decision victory.

PICK: William Knight (-170)

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