UFC Predictions: Striker Matt Schnell vs Jimmy Flick 4/26

- Lm Tipster
- Apr 24, 2025, 6:34:28 AM
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates - Striker Matt Schnell Meets Submission Ace Jimmy Flick in Flyweight Bout
On April 26, 2025, the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri, hosts UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates. The preliminary card features a compelling flyweight contest between the exciting striker Matt "Danger" Schnell and the prolific submission artist Jimmy "The Brick" Flick. This fight presents a classic stylistic clash between two veterans of the division.
Fighter Backgrounds
Matt Schnell
Matt "Danger" Schnell (16-9-0), representing Fortis MMA, is a veteran of the flyweight division known for his exciting striking and willingness to engage. Schnell has secured nine of his sixteen wins via submission, demonstrating a dangerous ground game when the opportunity arises. Despite a recent tough stretch, he remains a skilled and dangerous fighter.
Jimmy Flick
Jimmy "The Brick" Flick (17-8-0), fighting out of Forza Combat Sports, is a highly regarded submission specialist in the flyweight division. Flick boasts an impressive 15 submission victories in his career, showcasing his relentless pursuit of the tap. He is looking to build momentum after his recent win and climb the ranks based on his elite grappling.
Fighting Styles and Strengths
Matt Schnell
- Active Striker: Lands 4.39 significant strikes per minute (SIG STR LPM).
- Decent Striking Accuracy: Possesses a significant strike accuracy of 45.48% (SIG STR ACC).
- Submission Capability: Despite recent results, Schnell has a respectable submission average of 0.99 per 15 minutes (SUB AVG) and 9 career submission wins.
Jimmy Flick
- Elite Submission Grappler: Flick's most significant weapon is his grappling, with an outstanding 4.34 submission attempts per 15 minutes (SUB AVG) and 15 career submission wins.
- Opportunistic: He is excellent at finding openings for submissions, often from challenging positions.
- Takedown Attempts: Attempts 1.55 takedowns per 15 minutes (TD AVG), though with a lower accuracy (21.74% TD ACC).
Recent Performances
Matt Schnell
Schnell is looking to snap a three-fight losing streak, with his most recent loss being a first-round submission to Cody Durden in September 2024. Prior to that, he suffered knockout losses to Steve Erceg in March 2024 and Matheus Nicolau in December 2022. His last win was a submission victory over Sumudaerji in July 2022.
Jimmy Flick
Flick is coming off a second-round submission victory over Malcolm Gordon in January 2024, showcasing his signature grappling. Prior to that, he suffered knockout losses to Alessandro Costa in June 2023 and Charles Johnson in January 2023.
Odds and Betting Information
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Matt Schnell | -190 |
| Jimmy Flick | +160 |
Matt Schnell enters this matchup as the favorite at -190, while Jimmy Flick is the underdog with odds of +160.
Keys to Victory
Matt Schnell
- Keep the Fight Standing: Schnell's best chance of victory is to keep the fight on the feet and utilize his striking.
- Defend Takedowns and Submissions: Preventing Flick from taking the fight to the ground and expertly defending any submission attempts will be crucial.
- Maintain Distance: Using his slightly longer reach to keep Flick at bay could help Schnell land strikes without being in grappling range.
Jimmy Flick
- Implement Grappling Early and Often: Flick's path to victory is to take the fight to the ground as quickly as possible and work towards a submission.
- Be Relentless with Submissions: With his high submission attempt rate, Flick needs to constantly threaten with submissions to overwhelm Schnell.
- Capitalize on Any Scrambles: Flyweight fights often involve scrambles, and Flick excels at finding submissions in chaotic situations.
Prediction
This flyweight preliminary bout presents a compelling stylistic clash. Matt Schnell is the favored fighter and a capable striker, but Jimmy Flick's elite submission grappling poses a significant threat, especially given Schnell's recent submission loss. While Schnell has a higher striking output, Flick's incredible submission average and ability to find taps make him a dangerous underdog, particularly if he can get the fight to the ground. The value lies with Flick at +160.
Prediction: Jimmy Flick to win (+160).

