UFC Fight Night Predictions: Victor Henry vs Pedro Falcao 4/5
Kingpin Sports Picks App

UFC Fight Night Predictions: Victor Henry vs Pedro Falcao 4/5

 

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy – Bantamweight Bout Victor Henry and Pedro Falcão

Date: April 5, 2025 | Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV

The bantamweight clash between Victor Henry (-220) and Pedro Falcão (+180) kicks off an action-packed night at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy. This matchup pits a high-volume, experienced striker in Henry against a dangerous Brazilian finisher in Falcão. With contrasting styles and plenty on the line for both men, fans can expect a compelling tactical showdown.

Fighter Profiles

Victor Henry

Record: 24-7-0 | Team: UWF-USA | Stance: Switch | Age: 37 | Height: 5'7" | Reach: 68"

Victor “La Mangosta” Henry brings a wealth of experience into the Octagon. Known for his relentless pace and volume striking, Henry averages an impressive 7.66 significant strikes per minute with a 58% accuracy rate. He’s gone toe-to-toe with elite competition, including Raoni Barcelos and Raphael Assunção, showing resilience, cardio, and a deep understanding of the game. He’s also a legitimate submission threat with eight career wins by tap-out.

Pedro Falcão

Record: 16-4-0 | Team: Nova Uniao | Stance: Orthodox | Age: 32 | Height: 5'6" | Reach: 66"

Pedro “Pedrinho” Falcão made waves on the Contender Series with a third-round finish and followed that up with a strong regional record. Fighting out of the storied Nova Uniao camp, Falcão brings a classic Brazilian style: crisp striking, smart pressure, and dangerous grappling. With six knockouts and five submissions, he’s a proven finisher, though he’ll need to handle Henry’s pace and output over three rounds.

Stylistic Breakdown

Striking

Henry is by far the more active striker, known for weaponizing pace and variety. He throws in combinations, switches stances, and uses every inch of the Octagon to create angles. Falcão, while a capable striker, is more measured. He relies on timing and power, particularly when closing the distance to initiate grappling.

Grappling

Falcão’s best chance in this fight lies on the ground. He averages over two takedowns per 15 minutes and has a dangerous submission arsenal. However, Henry has a solid wrestling base and underrated submission defense. He’s not easy to control or submit, and his scrambling ability often neutralizes pure grapplers.

Experience

This is where Henry shines. With over 30 professional fights across top-tier promotions including UFC, Rizin, and Pancrase, he’s seen virtually every style and scenario. Falcão has shown flashes of brilliance but hasn’t consistently faced elite-level opposition.

What’s at Stake?

A win for Henry would reassert his status as a tough test for any bantamweight contender and possibly earn him a top-15 opponent next. For Falcão, this is a major proving ground. A win over a name like Henry would validate his skills and put him on the UFC’s radar as a rising force at 135 pounds.

Keys to Victory

Victor Henry

  • Volume Striking: Maintain a high output to keep Falcão on the defensive.
  • Movement: Use footwork to avoid prolonged grappling exchanges.
  • Mix Levels: Keep Falcão guessing by occasionally initiating clinches or takedowns.

Pedro Falcão

  • Close Distance: Must get past Henry’s volume and establish control in the clinch or on the ground.
  • Land Clean: Look for counters as Henry pushes forward—timing will be key.
  • Top Pressure: If he gets Henry down, Falcão needs to maintain position and work for submissions.

 

Prediction

This bout should be dictated by pace. If Henry is able to establish his rhythm early and avoid extended grappling exchanges, he has the tools to outstrike and outpace Falcão. The Brazilian has finishing ability, but Henry’s durability and cardio should carry him through.

Pick: Victor Henry via Unanimous Decision.