UFC Fight Night Picks and Parlay, March 11, 2023
- Lm Tipster
- Mar 11, 2023, 6:55:40 AM
UFC Fight Night: Main Card Event Picks
Welcome to the highly anticipated UFC Fight Night event taking place on March 11, 2023 at The Theater at Virgin Hotels in Las Vegas, NV. The main card features an exciting lineup of fights, and as your knowledgeable UFC analyst, I'll be breaking down each one and providing my predictions for the winners. From explosive knockouts to grappling masterclasses, this card promises to deliver some unforgettable moments.
So, join me as I analyze each fight in detail and give my predictions for the winners. And, for the ultimate thrill-seekers out there, I'll even provide a final parlay with +2000 odds for those who want to place a bet and potentially cash in big. Get ready for an unforgettable night of fights!
Petr Yan vs. Merab Dvalishvili
Petr Yan is a well-rounded fighter who has been dominant in the bantamweight division. He possesses excellent striking skills and has a significant advantage over his opponents in this regard. Yan's striking is characterized by its precision, power, and ability to adapt to his opponents' style.
Yan's striking skills are complemented by his movement and footwork, which enable him to stay out of danger while delivering effective strikes. He also has a strong chin, which has allowed him to withstand significant strikes from his opponents.
In addition to his striking abilities, Yan is a very experienced fighter. He has fought in some of the toughest fights in the bantamweight division and has proven himself to be a top contender. This experience has given Yan the ability to remain composed under pressure, which is crucial in high-stakes fights like this one.
On the other hand, Merab Dvalishvili is primarily known for his wrestling and grappling skills. While these are undoubtedly impressive, they may not be enough to overcome Yan's striking and experience.
In summary, Petr Yan's superior striking skills, movement, experience, and ability to remain composed under pressure give him a significant advantage over Merab Dvalishvili. While Dvalishvili's wrestling and grappling skills cannot be underestimated, it is likely that Yan's striking will prove to be too much for him to handle. As a result, I believe that Petr Yan will win the fight.
Pick: Petr Yan ML -275
Alexander Volkov vs. Alexandr Romanov
Alexander Volkov is a well-rounded fighter who is known for his excellent striking abilities. He is one of the tallest heavyweights in the UFC, which gives him a significant reach advantage over his opponents. His striking is characterized by its precision, power, and range control. Volkov has a diverse range of striking techniques, including kicks, punches, elbows, and knees, which makes him a difficult opponent to deal with.
In addition to his striking skills, Volkov is a very experienced fighter. He has fought in some of the toughest fights in the heavyweight division, including against former champion Fabricio Werdum and current champion Francis Ngannou. This experience has given Volkov the ability to remain composed under pressure, which is crucial in high-stakes fights like this one.
On the other hand, Alexandr Romanov is primarily known for his grappling skills. While these skills are undoubtedly impressive, they may not be enough to overcome Volkov's striking and experience.
Furthermore, Volkov has shown great takedown defense in his previous fights, which suggests that he will be able to defend against Romanov's grappling. This, combined with his range control and striking abilities, will make it difficult for Romanov to close the distance and take Volkov down.
In summary, Alexander Volkov's superior striking abilities, range control, experience, and takedown defense give him a significant advantage over Alexandr Romanov. While Romanov's grappling skills cannot be underestimated, it is likely that Volkov's striking will prove to be too much for him to handle. As a result, it is predicted that Alexander Volkov will win the fight.
Pick: Alexander Volkov ML +125
Nikita Krylov vs. Ryan Spann
Ryan Spann is a rising star in the light heavyweight division, known for his impressive size and power. He is a very tall and lengthy fighter, which gives him a significant reach advantage over his opponents. Spann's striking is characterized by its power, particularly in his hands and knees, which have proven to be effective in his previous fights.
Furthermore, Spann has improved his grappling skills significantly in recent years, making him a more well-rounded fighter. He has a brown belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and has shown the ability to control his opponents on the ground. This will be particularly advantageous against Nikita Krylov, who is also a skilled grappler.
On the other hand, Nikita Krylov is primarily known for his striking abilities and his submissions on the ground. While he is a dangerous opponent, he may struggle to deal with Spann's size and power.
Moreover, Spann's improved grappling skills will make it difficult for Krylov to take him down and control him on the ground. This, combined with Spann's power and reach advantage, will make it challenging for Krylov to find success in the striking exchanges.
In summary, Ryan Spann's size advantage, power, and improved grappling skills give him a significant advantage over Nikita Krylov. While Krylov is a skilled fighter, he may struggle to deal with Spann's size and strength. As a result, it is predicted that Ryan Spann will win the fight.
Pick: Ryan Spann ML +137
Said Nurmagomedov vs. Jonathan Martinez
Said Nurmagomedov is a very well-rounded fighter who is known for his grappling abilities. He is a master of sambo, which is a grappling-based martial art, and has shown excellent takedowns and ground control in his previous fights. Additionally, Nurmagomedov has very good striking abilities, which complement his grappling skills.
His striking is characterized by its precision and pressure. Nurmagomedov is constantly moving forward and pressuring his opponents, which makes it difficult for them to find openings to strike back. Furthermore, he has a diverse range of striking techniques, including punches, kicks, and knees, which he uses to keep his opponents guessing.
On the other hand, Jonathan Martinez is primarily known for his striking abilities. While he is a dangerous opponent, he may struggle to deal with Nurmagomedov's grappling abilities and pressure.
Nurmagomedov's grappling skills will allow him to take the fight to the ground, where he can control Martinez and land effective strikes. Additionally, his constant pressure and movement will make it difficult for Martinez to find openings to land significant strikes.
In summary, Said Nurmagomedov's grappling abilities, striking precision, and pressure give him a significant advantage over Jonathan Martinez. While Martinez is a skilled striker, he may struggle to deal with Nurmagomedov's grappling and pressure. As a result, it is predicted that Said Nurmagomedov will win the fight.
Pick: Said Nurmagomedov ML -239
Mario Bautista vs. Guido Cannetti
While Cannetti has an impressive striking game, Bautista's grappling skills are much stronger, and he will likely look to take the fight to the ground where he can control the pace and look for a submission finish.
Bautista's takedown accuracy of 66% and an average of 2.25 takedowns landed per 15 minutes show that he is highly effective at getting his opponents to the ground. Against Cannetti, who has shown weakness in his grappling game, this could be a major advantage for Bautista. He can use his wrestling and grappling skills to take Cannetti down and look for a submission finish, as he has done in his last two UFC fights.
In addition to his grappling skills, Bautista's striking game is also strong enough to keep Cannetti at bay. With an average of 5.61 significant strikes landed per minute and a striking accuracy of 50%, Bautista can effectively strike from both distance and close range. He also has solid striking defense, which could help him avoid getting hit too often by Cannetti.
On the other hand, Cannetti's lack of grappling skills could be a major problem for him in this fight. With an average of only 0.4 submissions attempted per 15 minutes, he has shown that he is not comfortable on the ground. If Bautista is able to take the fight to the ground and control the pace, Cannetti could struggle to defend against submission attempts.
In conclusion, Bautista's well-rounded skillset makes him the favorite in this matchup against Cannetti. His strong grappling skills and solid striking game should be enough to keep Cannetti at bay and allow him to control the pace of the fight. While Cannetti's striking abilities cannot be overlooked, his lack of grappling skills could be a major weakness in this fight. Therefore, I expect that Bautista will win the fight by submission in the second or third round, as he continues his climb up the bantamweight rankings.
Pick: Mario Bautista ML -1100
Victor Petrino vs. Akton Turkalj
Both fighters have a lot of skills and will be looking to showcase them in the octagon. While Turkalj is a dangerous fighter with a lot of potential, I believe that Petrino will come out on top. Anton Turkalj faced a tough challenge in his last Octagon appearance when he took on Jailton Almeida. Unfortunately for Turkalj, he was not able to secure the win and suffered a loss by rear naked choke in the first round. While it was certainly a disappointing result for Turkalj, he has had plenty of time to regroup and prepare for his next fight against Victor Petrino. With his record of 8-1-0, Turkalj has proven himself to be a skilled and dangerous fighter in the light heavyweight division. In this upcoming fight, he will be looking to bounce back from his last loss and establish himself as a top contender in the division. But will he be able to overcome the undefeated Petrino?
In addition to Petrino's skill set, his recent performances have been impressive. He has won his last seven fights, five of which were finishes. In his most recent fight against Rodolfo Bellato, he won by KO/TKO in the second round, showing his power and accuracy in the striking department. Petrino's versatility as a fighter is also noteworthy, as he has won fights by both striking and submission. He is a well-rounded fighter with an impressive skill set in both striking and grappling. He has shown the ability to finish fights in a variety of ways and has demonstrated his durability in his fights. Petrino's striking is particularly impressive, with his precision and accuracy in landing significant strikes. He has also shown a good ability to control the pace of the fight with his grappling and takedowns.
In this fight, I expect Petrino to use his striking to set up takedowns and control the fight on the ground. He will look to wear down Turkalj with his grappling and finish the fight with a submission or ground-and-pound. Turkalj's striking will be a threat, but Petrino's grappling and takedowns will neutralize Turkalj's striking and control the pace of the fight.
Overall, I predict that Victor Petrino will win this fight by TKO or submission in the later rounds. While Turkalj is a tough opponent with a dangerous striking game, Petrino's overall skill set and recent performances make him the favorite in this matchup. The fight will likely be competitive in the early rounds, but as the fight progresses, I expect Petrino to take control and secure the victory.
Pick: Victor Petrino ML -108
Main Card Parlay: Yan/Volkov/Spann/Nurmagomedov/Bautista/Petrino +2000 odds
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