UFC 315 Predictions: Alexa Grasso vs Natalia Silva, May 10, 2025
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UFC 315 Predictions: Alexa Grasso vs Natalia Silva, May 10, 2025

 

UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena - Former Champion Alexa Grasso Faces Surging Natalia Silva

A high-stakes women's flyweight bout is featured on the main card of UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena this Saturday, May 10, 2025, live from the Bell Centre in Montreal, Canada. Former UFC Strawweight Champion Alexa Grasso steps back into the octagon to take on the highly impressive Brazilian contender Natalia Silva. This matchup could have significant implications for the next title challenger in the flyweight division.

 

Fighter Backgrounds

Alexa Grasso

Alexa Grasso (16-4-1), representing Lobo Gym MMA in Mexico, is a former UFC Strawweight Champion known for her sharp boxing and technical striking. Grasso has transitioned to the flyweight division and has proven to be a top contender, famously defeating Valentina Shevchenko for the title. She has four wins via (T)KO and two by submission.

Natalia Silva

Natalia Silva (18-5-1), fighting out of Team Borracha in Brazil, is currently one of the hottest contenders in the women's flyweight division. Silva boasts a remarkable winning streak and has showcased dynamic striking and dangerous submission skills. With five wins via (T)KO and seven by submission, she is a legitimate threat wherever the fight goes.

Fighting Styles and Strengths

Alexa Grasso

  • Technical Striking/Boxing: Grasso possesses polished boxing skills, utilizing clean combinations and movement.
  • UFC Championship Experience: Has experience in high-pressure championship fights.
  • Orthodox Stance: Fights from an orthodox stance.

Natalia Silva

  • Dynamic Striking: Silva utilizes creative and powerful striking techniques.
  • Dangerous Submissions: Seven submission wins highlight her potent grappling threat.
  • Southpaw Stance: Fights from a southpaw stance, which can be challenging for orthodox opponents like Grasso.
  • High Momentum: Riding an impressive winning streak heading into this bout.

Recent Performances

Alexa Grasso

Alexa Grasso is coming off a unanimous decision loss to Valentina Shevchenko in their title rematch in September 2024. Prior to that, she fought to a draw with Shevchenko in September 2023 and famously won the title via submission against Shevchenko in March 2023.

Natalia Silva

Natalia Silva is on a dominant seven-fight winning streak in the UFC. Her most recent victory was a unanimous decision win over former champion Jessica Andrade in September 2024, a performance that propelled her into this matchup. Before that, she secured unanimous decision wins over Viviane Araujo in February 2024 and Andrea Lee in August 2023.

Odds and Betting Information

Fighter Odds
Alexa Grasso +195
Natalia Silva -240

Natalia Silva is the significant betting favorite in this women's flyweight main card bout with odds of -240, while the former champion Alexa Grasso is the underdog at +195.

Keys to Victory

Alexa Grasso

  • Utilize Boxing and Movement: Grasso should rely on her technical boxing and footwork to land strikes and avoid Silva's power and grappling entries.
  • Defend Takedowns and Submissions: Being prepared for Silva's grappling threats and defending effectively will be crucial.
  • Manage Distance: Keeping the fight at her preferred boxing range will be important.

Natalia Silva

  • Utilize Dynamic Striking and Southpaw Advantage: Silva should use her striking techniques and southpaw stance to create angles and land damaging shots on Grasso.
  • Look for Submission Opportunities: If the fight goes to the ground, Silva's dangerous submission game could be a major factor.
  • Maintain High Pace: Pushing a high pace and applying pressure can disrupt Grasso's rhythm.

 

Prediction

This women's flyweight main card bout is a critical one for the division. While Alexa Grasso is a former champion with excellent boxing, Natalia Silva is riding a wave of momentum with dominant performances and a well-rounded skillset that has seen her defeat a former champion recently. The betting odds heavily favor Silva, suggesting she is the sharper fighter at this time. Expect Silva to utilize her dynamic striking and potential grappling threats to control the fight.

Prediction: Natalia Silva to win (-240). As the significant betting favorite, Natalia Silva is the clear pick in this matchup. Her impressive winning streak, recent victory over Jessica Andrade, and versatile finishing ability make her a very difficult opponent for Grasso at this stage. Expect Silva to utilize her striking and grappling to secure a clear victory on the judges' scorecards.