Tom Aspinall vs. Serghei Spivak Odds, Preview and Prediction, (September 4): UFC

Tom Aspinall vs. Serghei Spivak Odds, Preview and Prediction, (September 4): UFC

Credit: Handout Photo-USA TODAY Sports
Time (Main Card) 4:00 p.m. EST
Tom Aspinall money line -260
Serghei Spivak money line +210


Key stats
  Tom Aspinall Serghei Spivak
Height 6'5 6'3
Weight 265 265
Reach 78' 78'
Record 10-2 13-2
Streak W6 W3
Last 5 5-0 4-1



The co-main event of the evening comes in the Heavyweight division, as Tom Aspinall and Serghei Spivak look to continue their winning ways. Aspinall enters this fight on a six fight win streak, three of which have come in the UFC. The young prospect has looked phenomenal thus far, as he’s finished all three of his UFC opponents in a combined 7 minutes and 29 seconds. Meanwhile, Spivak steps into this fight on short notice. The ‘Polar Bear’ has righted the ship of late, as he has won three fights in a row. Most recently Spivak defeated Aleksei Oleinik, which catapulted the Maldovan into the UFC’s top fifteen rankings.


The judges might not be needed in this one, as both men have fancied themselves as finishers. Tom Aspinall more so, as he’s yet to see a third round in his twelve professional MMA fights. Of his ten victories, all by stoppage, eight have come via strikes. The surging Brit has mowed down the competition thus far, and at this pace, it’s very likely we see him challenging the upper echelon of the division later this year should he win. The same could be said about Serghei Spivak, who has done a great job in fighting to his strength. In Spivak’s three fight win streak, he has utilized his wrestling against strikers and his striking against grapplers. Having a game plan and executing it, is certainly one thing Spivak has excelled at.

As for a prediction, I’m going with Aspinall. I do appreciate Spivak for stepping up on short notice, but this is stylistically a tough fight for him. Aspinall is simply better everywhere. The Brit is a BJJ black belt and a grappler at heart. However, he’s a handful on the feet as well. With legit knockout power and a higher output than most Heavyweights, Aspinall has real Championship qualities. However, his cardio is rather unknown. It’s something that Spivak, if he can survive the early storm, will certainly test. Unfortunately for Spivak, I don’t see that happening. So with that said, I have Aspinall winning this fight via TKO.

PICK: Tom Aspinall (-260)


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