Sam Alvey vs. Wellington Turman Odds, Preview and Prediction, (August 28): UFC

Credit: photo by Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time (Preliminary Card)	7:00 p.m. EST
Sam Alvey money line	+110
Wellington Turman money line	-130

 

Key stats

	Sam Alvey	Wellington Turman
Height	6'2	6'0
Weight	185	185
Reach	75'	72'
Record	33-15-1	16-5
Streak	L1	L2
Last 5	0-4-1	2-3

 

Preview

A clash in the Middleweight division see’s two struggling fighters in Sam Alvey and Wellinton Turman pair up in a must win fight. Longtime veteran Sam Alvey has been in a freefall since September of 2018. In six fights in that span, Alvey is winless, losing five of the six fights. The other fight happened to be a draw. If there is anything certain, a win is necessary in order for Alvey to stay in the UFC. Meanwhile, Turman has yet to find his footing in the UFC. In four fights with the promotion, Turman has dropped three of them. Even worse, Turman has been knocked out in the opening round in his last two fights.

Prediction

Sam Alvey is a striker, who classifies more on the lines of counter-puncher. He’s got sneaky power, which is almost hard to say, given Alvey hasn’t won nor knocked out anyone in over three years. However, of Alvey’s ten UFC wins, five have come via knockout. Throw in stout takedown defense and it’s hard to believe Alvey has struggled this badly. Wellington Turman knows of those struggles, as his last two fights have shown a lack of striking abilities and durability. The one thing Turman succeeded early in his UFC career was getting opponents down. A split decision loss and victory were all due to his ability to get his foes down. Since those fights though, Turman is 0 for 11 in takedown attempts. 

As for a prediction, I have Alvey winning. I would even go as far as saying that I’m confident he wins this fight, which is pretty bold given he hasn’t won a fight in 38 months. However, Alvey’s takedown defense is going to keep this fight upright. From there, Alvey will have his way on the feet with Turman, eventually landing the knockout blow.

PICK: Sam Alvey  (+110)

 

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