Pat Sabatini vs Lucas Almeida UFC Fight Night Picks 6/17

Pat Sabatini vs Lucas Almeida UFC Fight Night Picks 6/17

© Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

 

Pat Sabatini vs Lucas Almeida: Fight Preview

The UFC Fight Night event on June 17, 2023, will feature a highly-anticipated matchup between Pat Sabatini and Lucas Almeida. Sabatini, with a record of 17-4-0, will face off against Almeida, who boasts a record of 14-1-0, in what is expected to be a thrilling fight.

Pat Sabatini

Sabatini stands at 5'8" and weighs in at 145lbs with a reach of 70". He is an orthodox fighter with great stats in significant strikes landed per minute (1.67) and takedowns landed per 15 minutes (3.75). His striking accuracy stands at 55%, and he has a significant strike defense of 52%. He has an average of 1.9 submissions attempted per 15 minutes.

Lucas Almeida

Almeida, on the other hand, has a height advantage over Sabatini at 5'11" and weighs in at the same weight class with a reach of 71". He is also an orthodox fighter with impressive stats in significant strikes landed per minute (6.60) and significant strikes absorbed per minute (5.63). He has a striking accuracy of 47% and a significant strike defense of 48%. His takedown accuracy and defense both stand at 0%, and he has an average of 0.0 submissions attempted per 15 minutes.

The matchup between Sabatini and Almeida is expected to be highly contested with both fighters having their own strengths in their respective areas of expertise. Sabatini's takedown accuracy and defense may give him an advantage, but Almeida's striking skills cannot be underestimated. Fans of the UFC can expect a high-energy, action-packed fight between these two fighters.

 

Pat Sabatini Striking Analysis

Pat Sabatini is a well-rounded fighter, with a strong striking game to complement his grappling skills. His striking statistics are not particularly impressive, with a significant strike accuracy of 55% and a significant strikes landed per minute rate of 1.67. However, he does have a solid striking defense, with opponents landing only 52% of their significant strikes. Sabatini has shown solid stand-up skills in his recent fights, including his impressive victory over Tucker Lutz at UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate. He showed good footwork and striking combinations, hurting Lutz several times with punches and kicks. Sabatini also has a good sense of range, using his 70" reach to keep his opponents at bay. In his upcoming fight against Lucas Almeida, Sabatini will face a dangerous striker with a significant strikes landed per minute rate of 6.60. While Almeida's striking accuracy is not particularly high at 47%, he has shown knockout power in the past, most notably in his victory over Michael Trizano at UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik. Sabatini will need to use his footwork and range to keep Almeida at a distance and avoid getting into a striking exchange. He should look to mix in takedowns and ground-and-pound to keep Almeida guessing and prevent him from getting into a rhythm. Overall, while Sabatini's striking numbers may not jump off the page, he has shown strong stand-up skills in recent fights. To defeat Almeida, he will need to use a smart game plan that utilizes all aspects of his game, including his striking.

Pat Sabatini Wrestling

Pat Sabatini is an accomplished wrestler with a record of 17-4-0. His takedown average is an impressive 3.75, with a takedown accuracy and defense of 42%. Sabatini's ground game is also strong with an average of 1.9 submission attempts per 15 minutes. He has a significant striking accuracy of 55% and a significant strike defense of 52%. In his most recent fight at UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze, Sabatini demonstrated his well-rounded skills by submitting his opponent, Tristan Connelly, with a heel hook in the second round. He also secured a unanimous decision victory against Tucker Lutz at UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate, showcasing his impressive grappling abilities. Sabatini's upcoming match against Lucas Almeida poses a new challenge for the wrestler. Almeida has a strong striking game with a significant strikes landed per minute of 6.60, and a significant striking accuracy of 47%. However, Almeida has yet to attempt a takedown in his professional career, indicating he may be uncomfortable on the ground. It will be interesting to see how Sabatini approaches this fight and whether he utilizes his wrestling skills to take Almeida down and control the fight on the ground. Regardless, fans can expect an exciting matchup between these two skilled fighters at UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier.

Lucas Almeida Striking Analysis

Lucas Almeida is a highly skilled striker, with a record of 14-1-0 in his professional MMA career. His significant strikes landed per minute (SLpM) is an impressive 6.60, with a striking accuracy of 47%. His significant strikes absorbed per minute (SApM) is 5.63, with a significant strike defense of 48%. Almeida's striking technique is characterized by his crisp and precise striking and his ability to mix up his punches and kicks effectively. He is also known for his outstanding footwork, which enables him to move in and out of range quickly, making it difficult for his opponents to counter him. One area where Almeida could improve is his takedown defense. His takedown accuracy is 0%, and his takedown defense rate is 50%. This could make him vulnerable to opponents who are skilled in wrestling and grappling. Overall, Almeida's striking ability is a major strength in his MMA game, and he will likely utilize it to his advantage in his upcoming fight against Pat Sabatini at UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier on June 17, 2023. However, he will need to improve his takedown defense to avoid being taken down by Sabatini, who is known for his wrestling and submission skills. 

 

Prediction 

This is expected to be a close fight between two talented featherweights. Pat Sabatini has impressive takedown skills and submission average, while Lucas Almeida has great striking accuracy and defense. That being said, I predict that Pat Sabatini will come out on top in this matchup. His ability to control the fight on the ground and possibly secure a submission gives him an advantage. However, it is important to note that upsets can happen in MMA, and Almeida's striking power has the potential to end the fight early.

 

Pick: Pat Sabatini (Moneyline) -190

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