Miguel Baeza vs Khaos Williams Odds, Preview and Prediction, November 13 (11/13): UFC
- Nov 11, 2021, 2:06:10 PM
Credit: photo by Thomas Shea-USA TODAY Sports
|Time (Main Card)||4:00 p.m. EST|
|Miguel Baeza money line||-140|
|Khaos Williams money line||+120|
|Miguel Baeza||Khaos Williams|
The opening fight of the main card comes in the Welterweight division, as Miguel ‘Caramel Thunder’ Baeza takes on Khaos ‘The Oxfighter’ Williams in an early frontrunner for ‘Fight of the Night’. In one of the more exciting fights on the card, Baeza will look to bounce back after suffering his first professional defeat to Santiago Ponzinibbio. A fight that earned him a ‘Fight of the Night’ bonus. Prior to the defeat, Baeza had won ten straight, three of which came in the UFC. Meanwhile, Williams most recently bounced back from a defeat to Michel Perreira, defeating Matthew Semelsberger in June of this year. The victory was Williams third in the UFC, and his first via decision.
Initially this fight was buried on the prelims. However, after a fight on the main card was scrapped, this fight was the obvious choice to be elevated. In my opinion, it’s the second best fight on the card and deserved this spot before the opening. Before facing Santiago Ponzinibbio, Miguel Baeza had run through the competition, finishing three straight opponents. While he looked excellent in round one against Ponzinibbio, ultimately the pace and the Argentinian's constant output broke him. Regardless, Baeza’s stock didn’t fall. A devastating striker, with a blend of power and volume, Baeza looks to systematically break opponents with leg kicks and overall technique. Khaos Williams on the other hand can be a bit of a wildcard. With legitimate knockout power, Williams isn’t afraid to brawl or blitz opponents. Obviously abandoning striking defense, Williams opts to take one to give one.
As for a prediction, I have Williams. While his deficiencies on the defensive side are noted, he has proven to be extremely durable. Dating back to his amateur fights, Williams has yet to be finished in twenty nine combined fights. The reason that I favor Williams though, is that while he carries power, he also does a good job being a high output striker. Landing 5.2 significant strikes a minute, as long as Williams isn't being wrestled, you can expect him to explode inside the pocket and throw multiple punches. The only concern I have in this fight for Williams, is Baeza’s leg kicks. It’s a game changing element to the fight, that if Baeza can implement, he could slow-down Williams and pick him apart. In the end however, I expect a wild fight, one in which Williams wins via TKO.
PICK: Khaos Williams (+120)
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