Mackenzie Dern vs Marina Rodriguez Odds, Preview and Prediction, October 9 (10/9): UFC

Mackenzie Dern vs Marina Rodriguez Odds, Preview and Prediction, October 9 (10/9): UFC

Credit: photo by Handout Photo-USA TODAY Sports
Time (Main Card) 4:00 p.m. EST
Mackenzie Dern money line -170
Marina Rodriguez money line +145


Key stats
  Mackenzie Dern Marina Rodriguez
Height 5'4 5'6
Weight 115 115
Reach 63' 65'
Record 11-1 14-1-2
Streak W4 W2
Last 5 4-1 3-1-1




In the main event of the evening, we have an important Women’s Strawweight bout between Mackenzie Dern and Marina Rodriguez. Given the Strawweight title is being defended on November 6th, there is a real possibility this fight could be a title eliminator. Obviously Carla Esparza waits in the wings, but an impressive performance by the winner could very well catapult them. Rodriguez comes into this fight on a two-fight winning streak. Most recently, she defeated Michelle Waterson in a five-round fight. Meanwhile, Dern has won four consecutive fights. The BJJ specialist has been a force during this winning streak, submitting three of the four opponents.


This is an exciting main event that features two of the very best Strawweight's. The fact that both women have only lost once professionally, just shows you the pedigree in talent we have here in the main event. Marina Rodriguez is a pure striker who carries some legitimate power in the Strawweight division. Should she shore up her takedown defense, the sky’s the limit for Rodriguez. The same could be said about Mackenzie Dern, but in regards to her striking. Already an excellent grappler and submission artist, should Dern’s striking get to a point where she is hurting opponents on the feet, then watch out. I will say though, Dern’s striking has come a long ways and is much better than given credit for.

As for a prediction, I have Dern. While I’m concerned about Dern striking with Rodriguez long enough to get hurt, I can’t look past Rodriguez’s leaky takedown defense. In three fights, where Rodriguez lost and drew twice, she was taken down a combined ten times. The blueprint on how to neutralize the Brazilian striker is there, and I see it being exploited once again. The even bigger problem is if Rodriguez can fend off Dern’s submissions. If she can survive, there is a chance she can come back in the Championship rounds. However, I don’t foresee that happening, as I have Dern winning via submission.

PICK: Mackenzie Dern (-170)


Find more sports picks from the top sports bettors and MMA experts all in one place using our iOS and Google Play apps, as well as our other articles at  We are the home for MMA picks, sports picks and sports betting.

Winnings $13,589
last 30 days winnings $1,050
Yesterday winnings $0
Top Sport MLB
W-L-D 59 - 35 - 1
Winnings % 61%
Winnings $13,066
last 30 days winnings $0
Yesterday winnings $0
Top Sport NCAAB
W-L-D 21 - 5 - 2
Winnings % 75%