Luigi Vendramini vs. Paddy Pimblett Odds, Preview and Prediction, (September 4): UFC

Luigi Vendramini vs. Paddy Pimblett Odds, Preview and Prediction, (September 4): UFC

Credit: Handout Photo-USA TODAY Sports
Time (Main Card) 4:00 p.m. EST
Luigi Vendramini money line +115
Paddy Pimblett money line -135


Key stats
  Luigi Vendramini Paddy Pimblett
Height 5'8 5'10
Weight 155 155
Reach 73' N/A
Record 9-2 16-3
Streak L1 W2
Last 5 3-2 3-2



The opening fight of the main card comes in the Lightweight division, as the ‘Italian Stallion’ Luigi Vendramini looks to fend off UFC debutant Paddy Pimblett. Vendramini comes into this fight off a majority decision defeat to Fares Ziam. It’s a fight that Vendramini would probably want back, as his lack of activity early cost him dearly. Before the loss, Vendramini knocked Jessin Ayari out, earning a UFC performance bonus. Meanwhile, Pimblett makes his long awaited debut. Signed by the UFC in March of this year, the fan favorite Pimblett looks to take the UFC by storm. The former Cage Warriors Featherweight Champion Pimblett, enters this fight on a two fight win streak.


This is a close fight, which to me, is dependent on a few factors. Luigi Vendramini is a grappler, who has also shown to have legit power on the feet. The problem with Vendramini is his takedown setups, as he hasn’t fooled anyone yet. Coming into this fight, Vendramini is one for twelve in his takedown attempts. Another issue for the ‘Italian Stallion’ is his accuracy and volume on the feet. He’s too hesitant and often finds himself fighting off his back foot. Now, on the feet, Paddy Pimblett isn’t exactly great. However, if Vendramini decides to fight off his back foot and not pressure, Pimblett will be able to get off more strikes at range than he’s accustomed too. Pimblett though is a grappler, and I expect him to test Vendramini’s takedown defense often. Given we’ve yet to see Vendramini’s takedown defense tested, it remains to be seen if he can keep this fight upright or not.

As for a prediction, I have Pimblett winning. I believe that the combination of Vendramini’s poor striking accuracy, output and takedown accuracy leaves a little to be desired. Throw in his unknown takedown defense and it remains to be seen if Vendramini can keep Pimblett from taking him down. With all those question marks, I just can’t side with Vendramini. So with that, I have Pimblett winning via decision.

PICK: Paddy Pimblett  (-135)


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