Luana Santos vs Mariya Agapova Prediction UFC Picks 7/13

Luana Santos vs Mariya Agapova Prediction UFC Picks 7/13

© Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports


UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez - Luana Santos vs. Mariya Agapova Preview and Prediction

On July 13, 2024, at the Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado, UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez will feature a compelling women's flyweight bout between Luana Santos and Mariya Agapova. This fight promises to be an exciting contest as both fighters bring their unique skills and determination to the octagon. Let's delve into their profiles and analyze them to determine our final prediction in this compelling matchup.


Luana Santos

  • Height/Weight: 5' 6", 139 lbs
  • Record: 7-1-0 (1 TKO)
  • Team: Team Alpha Male
  • Stance: Orthodox
  • Reach: 67"


Luana Santos is known for her well-rounded skill set and tenacity in the octagon. With one win by knockout and three by submission, Santos has demonstrated her ability to finish fights both on the feet and on the ground. Her reach advantage and technical striking make her a formidable opponent in stand-up exchanges. Training with Team Alpha Male, Santos has also developed a strong grappling game, making her a versatile fighter in the flyweight division.

Recent Performance:

Santos has shown impressive form in her recent bouts. She secured a unanimous decision victory over Stephanie Egger at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez and a knockout win against Juliana Miller at UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos. Additionally, she achieved a technical submission win against Bartira Rodrigues at LFA 154. These victories have solidified her reputation as a rising contender in the flyweight division.


Mariya Agapova

  • Height/Weight: 5' 6", 125 lbs
  • Record: 10-4-0 (3 TKO, 5 SUB)
  • Team: American Top Team Sunrise
  • Nickname: Demonslayer
  • Stance: Southpaw
  • Reach: 68"


Mariya Agapova, known as "Demonslayer," is a dynamic fighter with a strong ground game. With five submission victories, Agapova's grappling skills are her greatest asset. Her ability to switch stances and adapt to different fighting styles makes her a versatile and unpredictable opponent. Training at American Top Team Sunrise, Agapova has developed a well-rounded skill set, combining striking with effective grappling techniques.

Recent Performance:

Agapova has faced challenges in her recent fights. She secured a submission win against Sabina Mazo at UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez, but suffered back-to-back submission losses to Gillian Robertson at UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song and Maryna Moroz at UFC 272. These losses highlight her vulnerabilities in striking defense and the need to refine her overall game.



This women's flyweight clash between Luana Santos and Mariya Agapova promises to be an engaging encounter. While Agapova's grappling skills and submission capabilities pose a significant threat, Santos's striking power and versatility give her a clear advantage in this matchup.

Santos's ability to maintain distance and control the pace of the fight will be crucial. Her reach and striking accuracy will allow her to keep Agapova at bay, preventing the fight from going to the ground where Agapova excels. Additionally, Santos's training at Team Alpha Male has equipped her with solid defensive techniques and the ability to counter grappling attempts effectively.

Agapova's strategy will likely involve attempting to close the distance and take the fight to the ground, but Santos's takedown defense and striking proficiency will counter these efforts. Santos's technical striking and power pose a constant threat that Agapova will need to navigate carefully.

Considering Santos's recent performances and her well-rounded skill set, she is expected to secure a victory in this bout. Her striking advantage and ability to dictate the pace will likely overwhelm Agapova, who may struggle to implement her grappling game against a striker of Santos's caliber.

Given Santos's superior striking and comprehensive skill set, the prediction for this fight is a win for Luana Santos. Her relentless pursuit of control and her capacity to manage the fight from a distance position her as the favorite to emerge victorious in this exciting flyweight matchup at the Ball Arena in Denver.

Pick: Luana Santos to win by KO/TKO, DQ or submission -110

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