Li Jingliang vs Khamzat Chimaev Odds, Preview and Prediction, October 30 (10/30): UFC

Li Jingliang vs Khamzat Chimaev Odds, Preview and Prediction, October 30 (10/30): UFC

  • KV13
  • Kv13
  • Oct 28, 2021, 2:33:44 PM
Credit: photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via USA TODAY Sports


Time (Main Card) 2:00 p.m. EST
Li Jingliang money line +425
Khamzat Chimaev money line -575


Key stats
  Li Jingliang Khamzat Chimaev
Height 6'0 6'2
Weight 170 170
Reach 72' 75'
Record 18-6 9-0
Streak W1 W9
Last 5 4-1 5-0




In the Welterweight division, we have a showdown between Li ‘The Leech’ Jingliang and Khamzat ‘Borz’ Chimaev. Checking in at #11 in the UFC Welterweight rankings, Jingliang has quietly become the best male fighter to come out of China. With ten wins and eight coming in the last ten fights, Jingliang has started to finally get himself into big fights. Meanwhile, after a bout with the coronavirus that almost caused him to retire, Chimaev makes his long-awaited return to the octagon. Having been hit by two strikes in three fights, Chimaev has absolutely embarrassed his opponents thus far.




Given the ugly battle Khamzat Chimaev had with the coronavirus, one has to wonder if he is back to normal or if he is compromised coming into this fight. Knowing what we know, and given he almost retired, you’d have to think that Chimaev is physically and mentally in a good place to be returning to the octagon. Having a well rounded skill set, Chimaev has built a rapport of being a cardio and pace machine. When in a dominant position, Chimaev delivers non-stop ground-and-pound with the intention of ending the fight sooner rather than later. An approach Li Jingliang normally doesn’t go for, as he is far more keen on flatlining opponents on the feet. With exceptional power, Jingliang has nine knockdowns in his last twelve fights.

As for a prediction, I’m siding with Chimaev. If there is any weakness Jingliang has shown in the past, it’s his takedown defense. Checking in at a decent 59% takedown accuracy, Jingliang has notably had his toughest fights come against wrestlers. In fact, before Jingliang's last fight against Santiago Ponzinibbio, he fought Neil Magny who shut him down with four takedowns. I don’t see anything different happening here, as Chimaev will easily get this fight to the mat and ground-and-pound his way to yet another TKO victory.


PICK: Khamzat Chimaev (-575)


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