Kingpin analysis

Khama Worthy vs Jai Herbert Odds, Preview and Prediction, October 23 (10/23): UFC

Khama Worthy vs Jai Herbert Odds, Preview and Prediction, October 23 (10/23): UFC
Credit: photo by Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports
 
Odds
Time (Preliminary Card) 1:00 p.m. EST
Khama Worthy money line +150
Jai Herbert money line -175

 

Key stats
  Khama Worthy Jai Herbert
Height 5'11 6'1
Weight 155 155
Reach 74' 77'
Record 16-8 10-3
Streak L2 L2
Last 5 3-2 3-2

 

Preview

 

An exciting fight in the Lightweight division is upon us, as Khama ‘The Death Star’ Worthy throws down with Jai ‘The Black Country Banger’ Herbert. In 2019, Worthy stormed into the UFC with back-to-back stoppage victories over Devante Smith and Luis Pena. Since then however, Worthy has dropped two straight and has been stopped in both fights.  Meanwhile, Herbert too has struggled of late. After piling up six consecutive wins on the regional scene, Herbert got the call to the big show. Unfortunately, in two fights inside the octagon, not only has Herbert lost, he has been stopped in both. A victory is all but needed should Herbert want to remain a UFC fighter.

 
Prediction

 

This fight almost guarantees to result in a stoppage, as both men profile as finish or be finished fighters. In a combined 37 professional fights, they have five decisions among them. Khama Worthy is a striker, who throws defense out the window to get in his offense. Given Worthy has seven of his eight losses coming via knockout, one would think tightening up his defense would be a concern. Jai Herbert too is a striker, who has eight of his ten wins coming via knockout. While Herbert has yet to taste UFC victory, the promising thing in this fight is that he won’t have to worry about his weakness of grappling.

As for a prediction, I have Herbert. When Worthy came into the UFC, he was already known to have durability concerns. While Worthy surprised many with some upset victories, the last two fights reminded us that his chin just isn’t durable. Herbert, despite being stopped via strikes in two of his three fights, has less mileage on him than Worthy. So with all that said, in what should be fireworks early, I predict Herbert wins via knockout.

 

PICK: Jai Herbert (-175)

 

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