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UFC 307 Picks: Austin Hubbard vs. Alexander Hernandez – Fight Preview and Prediction

In the lightweight division at UFC 307, Austin Hubbard (17-7-0) will take on Alexander Hernandez (14-8-0) on October 5, 2024, at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah. Hubbard is looking to build on his recent unanimous decision win, while Hernandez is coming off a split decision loss and will be eager to bounce back.

As the #1 MMA expert at KingPin Pro, with a 74% success rate on UFC picks, I’ll break down this matchup and provide my expert prediction. If you want to add more value to your bets, don’t miss my Prediction on Almeida vs Potieria Fight.

 

Fighter Analysis

Austin Hubbard Overview

Austin "Thud" Hubbard is a well-rounded fighter with solid striking and durability. Hubbard has 5 knockout wins to his name and thrives in grueling fights where he can wear down his opponents. His takedown defense is reliable, and he's shown improvement in his ability to manage the pace of the fight. He’s coming off a solid win over Michal Figlak, where he showcased his striking precision and cardio, going the full three rounds.

Alexander Hernandez Overview

Alexander Hernandez, known as "The Great Ape," is an aggressive striker with knockout power, boasting 6 TKO wins. However, his recent form has been inconsistent, with 4 losses in his last 6 fights, including a split decision loss to Damon Jackson. Hernandez has dangerous striking but tends to struggle against opponents who can withstand his early pressure and drag the fight into later rounds.

Key Fighter Stats

• Austin Hubbard:
  • Record: 17-7-0
  • Knockouts: 5-0
  • Submissions: 2-3
• Alexander Hernandez:
  • Record: 14-8-0
  • Knockouts: 6-3
  • Submissions: 2-1

Odds Table

Fighter	Moneyline
Austin Hubbard	+130
Alexander Hernandez	-160

Prediction