Drew Dober vs Matt Frevola Prediction UFC 288 Picks 5/6
- Lm Tipster
- May 5, 2023, 2:25:27 AM
© Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
Fight Preview: Drew Dober vs Matt Frevola
On May 6, 2023, Drew Dober and Matt Frevola are set to face off in one of the most anticipated fights of the year. With Dober's impressive record of 26-11-0 (1NC) and Frevola's record of 10-3-1, fans can expect a dynamic and intense fight.
Dober, a skillful southpaw with a reach of 70", has impressive striking statistics. He lands an average of 4.47 significant strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 40%. His takedown defense is also noteworthy, standing at 55%. Dober has secured several KO/TKO wins in previous fights, showcasing his ability to finish fights with punches.
Frevola, on the other hand, is an orthodox fighter with a reach of 71". He averages 3.46 significant strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 41%. Frevola's strength lies in his takedown ability, with an average of 2.39 takedowns landed per 15 minutes and a takedown accuracy of 37%. He has also demonstrated solid grappling skills with an average of 1 submission attempted per 15 minutes.
With both fighters possessing unique strengths, it will be interesting to see how the fight unfolds. Dober's striking prowess will be tested against Frevola's takedowns and grappling, making for an exciting matchup. Don't miss out on this must-see fight.
Drew Dober Striking Predictions
Drew Dober has proven to be a striking machine in his fights. He has a high significant striking accuracy of 40% and lands an impressive 4.47 significant strikes per minute. Dober can finish a fight with his striking, as seen with his four knockout wins in his last seven fights. In his upcoming fight against Matt Frevola, Dober will likely look to utilize his striking skills to keep the fight standing. Frevola has a strong wrestling game, averaging 2.39 takedowns per 15 minutes, but he may struggle to take Dober down. Dober's takedown defense is at an impressive 55%, and he has shown his ability to keep fights standing in the past. Dober's striking style is based on his excellent footwork and movement. He is agile in the cage, constantly shifting his stance to create angles for his strikes. He possesses knockout power in both hands and can finish his opponents with his punches and kicks. In his recent fight against Rafael Alves, Dober showed his striking diversity by finishing the fight with a head kick. Dober has a history of focusing on his opponent's tendencies and then adapting his striking game accordingly. Overall, Dober's striking skills make him a dangerous fighter, and his upcoming fight against Frevola will likely showcase his impressive striking game. If Dober can keep the fight standing, he has a high probability of finishing the fight with his striking.
DrewDober has a background in wrestling, which has been a major factor in his success in the UFC. He has a takedown average of 0.71 per 15 minutes and a takedown accuracy of 17%. Dober's takedown defense is also impressive, with a rate of 55%. In his recent fights, Dober has shown his ability to control the fight on the ground. In his match against Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev in March 2022, he secured a KO/TKO victory with punches in the first round. In his match prior to that against Rafael Alves at UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 in July 2022, Dober also secured a KO/TKO victory with punches in the first round. Dober's wrestling skills have also helped him defend against takedowns from his opponents. In his match against Islam Makhachev at UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya in March 2021, he defended against several takedowns before ultimately being submitted with an arm triangle choke in the third round. Overall, DrewDober's wrestling skills have been crucial to his success in the UFC and will likely be a factor in his upcoming match against Matt Frevola at UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo in May 2023.
Matt Frevola's Striking
Matt Frevola is known for his non-stop pressure and high-volume striking. He throws a variety of punches and kicks with both power and accuracy. Frevola also mixes in knee strikes and elbows when he's in close range with his opponents. Frevola's striking game is particularly effective in the clinch, where he can land multiple strikes on his opponents and wear them down. He has a tendency to swarm his opponents with strikes from all angles, overwhelming them with his intensity and volume. One area where Frevola can improve is his head movement. He has taken some big shots in his previous fights, and his striking defense can be porous at times. However, Frevola's toughness and durability allow him to weather the storm and keep coming forward even when he's hurt. Overall, Frevola's striking is a major weapon in his arsenal. He throws a high volume of strikes with a lot of power and accuracy, and he's not afraid to engage in close-range exchanges with his opponents. If he can tighten up his defense and avoid taking too many shots, Frevola could become a top contender in the UFC lightweight division.
Matt Frevola's Wrestling Ability
Matt Frevola is known for his excellent wrestling abilities, which have been on display in many of his fights. He has an average of 2.39 takedowns landed per 15 minutes, with a takedown accuracy of 37%. Frevola has also shown great takedown defense, stopping 42% of his opponents' takedown attempts. Frevola's wrestling skills were particularly evident in his fight against Jalin Turner, where he secured six takedowns and controlled the fight for most of the three rounds. Frevola also showcased his wrestling prowess in his fight against Luis Pena, taking him down twice and controlling the grappling exchanges throughout the fight. Against Drew Dober, Frevola will likely look to utilize his wrestling skills to take the fight to the ground and control the pace. However, Dober's takedown defense is at 55%, so Frevola may need to work hard to secure those takedowns. Overall, Frevola's wrestling skills make him a dangerous fighter in the lightweight division. If he can successfully take the fight to the ground and control his opponent, he has a good chance of coming out on top.
How DrewDober Can Win
To win the title, DrewDober needs to continue his current streak of impressive performances. He has been on a roll lately, with five wins in his last six fights, including four finishes. Dober's striking is his key weapon, with good accuracy and power. He should focus on using his striking to keep his opponents at bay and look for opportunities to finish them. In addition to his striking, Dober has also improved his takedown defense and ground game. He should continue to work on those areas to avoid being taken down and to be able to defend himself on the ground. One potential weakness for Dober is his cardio. He has been known to fatigue in the later rounds of fights, so he should work on his conditioning to avoid this issue. As for specific matchups, Dober would likely need to beat a top contender or two before getting a shot at the title. A win over someone like Conor McGregor or Justin Gaethje would certainly boost his profile and put him in contention for a title shot. Ultimately, Dober will need to continue his impressive performances and prove that he is a top contender in the stacked lightweight division. If he can do that, he has a good shot at winning the title.
How Matt Frevola Can Win Against Drew Dober
Matt Frevola has a tough opponent in Drew Dober, but there are a few key strategies he can employ to come out on top: 1. Use his grappling skills - Frevola has a strong wrestling background and an average of 2.39 takedowns landed per 15 minutes. He should look to take Dober down and control him on the ground. 2. Work on his striking defense - Frevola absorbs an average of 3.49 significant strikes per minute, which is relatively high. He needs to tighten up his striking defense and avoid taking unnecessary damage. 3. Stay active and aggressive - Frevola is known for his high pace and pressure. He should continue to push the pace and keep Dober on his back foot throughout the fight. 4. Mix up his strikes - Frevola has a diverse striking arsenal, including kicks and elbows. He should use a variety of strikes to keep Dober guessing and create openings for takedowns. If Frevola can implement these strategies effectively, he has a good chance of beating Dober and moving up the lightweight rankings.
This is a matchup between two skilled strikers, but Drew Dober has a clear advantage in experience and has faced tougher competition in his career. Dober has shown improved takedown defense and grappling skills in his recent fights, which could potentially nullify Frevola's wrestling game. However, Frevola has decent power and can land significant strikes if he finds his rhythm. This fight could go either way, but I believe Dober's experience and versatility will give him an edge and he will come out with a close decision victory.
Pick: Drew Dober (Moneyline) -225