Cynthia Calvillo vs Andrea Lee Odds, Preview and Prediction, November 13 (11/13): UFC

Credit: photo by Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

Odds

Key stats

Preview

An important fight in the Women’s Flyweight division is upon us, as Cynthia Calvillo takes on Andrea ‘KGB’ Lee. I say important because both women have struggled of late and find themselves at a crossroads. Calvillo has lost two straight, against the top two challengers of the division. Sitting at #5 in the Flyweight rankings, Calvillo needs a victory to avoid seeing her title aspirations fade. Meanwhile, Lee snapped a three fight losing streak in her most recent fight, defeating Antonina Shevchenko via submission. It was one of Lee’s better performances inside the octagon, and a much needed one, as a fourth straight defeat could have very well seen her cut from the promotion.

Prediction

When Cynthia Calvillo moved up to Flyweight, it was a wise move, as a combination of weight issues and lack of depth at 125 pounds presented an opportunity. In her Flyweight debut, she defeated a former title challenger in Jessica Eye. Instantaneously, the victory brought Calvillo to contender status and on the cusp of a title shot. However, back-to-back losses to contenders have dampened her positioning in the Flyweight division. A wrestler at heart, Calvillo has more often than not, fallen in love with her striking. In many instances, it has cost her fights. Then there is Andrea Lee. A fairly well rounded fighter, who does a good job of maintaining a high output and mixing in takedowns. The problem for Lee has been an inability to avoid close fights and her shotty takedown defense. Given two of her three defeats came via split decision, it would be wise for Lee to do more of what she displayed against Antonina Shevchenko to avoid the judges fate.

As for a prediction, I have Lee winning. I believe that she is the better overall fighter and should Calvillo once again prefer to strike rather than wrestle, she will be severely outpointed on the feet. However, if Calvillo implements a wrestling heavy approach, there is a possible path to victory for the 5th ranked Flyweight. I just need to see it to believe it though. In the end, Lee’s high output, pace and cardio shine through and earn her a hard fought decision victory.

PICK: Andrea Lee (+100)

Find more sports picks from the top sports bettors and MMA experts all in one place using our iOS and Google Play apps, as well as our other articles at Kingpin.pro.  We are the home for MMA picks, sports picks and sports betting.