Bill Algeo vs TJ Brown Prediction UFC Fight Night Picks 4/15

Bill Algeo vs TJ Brown Prediction UFC Fight Night Picks 4/15

© Ed Mulholland-USA TODAY Sports

 

Bill Algeo vs TJ Brown: Fight Preview

On April 15th, 2023, UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Allen will feature a highly anticipated fight between Bill Algeo and TJ Brown. Algeo, with a record of 16-7-0 and standing at 6'0" with a reach of 73", will be matched against Brown, who has a record of 17-9-0 and stands at 5'9" with a reach of 72". Algeo is known for his impressive striking skills, with a significant striking accuracy of 53% and an average of 5.68 significant strikes landed per minute. He also has a good takedown defense of 55%. Brown, however, has a higher takedown average of 3.62 per 15 minutes and a takedown accuracy of 56%. He is also known for his submission skills, with an average of 1.6 submissions attempted per 15 minutes. Both fighters have had recent wins and losses, making this fight a crucial one for their careers. Algeo won his last fight against Herbert Burns via KO/TKO, while Brown won his last fight against Erik Silva via arm triangle submission. With both fighters having unique strengths and weaknesses, this fight can go either way. Will Algeo's striking skills prevail, or will Brown's grappling abilities lead him to victory? Tune in on April 15th to find out.

 

Bill Algeo Striking Prediction

Bill Algeo is a well-rounded fighter with impressive striking accuracy, holding a 53% significant striking accuracy in his career statistics. He lands an average of 5.68 significant strikes per minute, and his opponents land only 46% of their significant strikes against him. Algeo's remarkable striking ability was showcased in his recent victory against Herbert Burns, where he won by KO/TKO in the second round. Going up against TJ Brown, who has a 44% significant striking accuracy and lands an average of 3.40 significant strikes per minute, Algeo has the advantage in striking. Brown's striking defense is decent, with opponents landing only 49% of their significant strikes against him, but it may not be enough to withstand the sharp and accurate strikes of Bill Algeo. Overall, we predict that Bill Algeo's striking will be a dominant factor in this matchup against TJ Brown. He will likely outland Brown with his quick and precise strikes, leading him to a victory by decision or potentially even a KO/TKO.

Bill Algeo Wrestling

Bill Algeo is a well-rounded fighter who has displayed his wrestling skills in his fights. He has an average takedown accuracy of 38% and an average of 0.77 takedowns landed per 15 minutes. Algeo's takedown defense is a decent 55%, which means he can handle himself on the ground. In his fight against Herbert Burns, Algeo's wrestling skills were on full display as he dominated on the ground and secured the victory with a TKO in the second round. However, in his fight against Andre Fili, Algeo struggled with his takedowns and was not able to secure any, which led to his defeat via unanimous decision. In his upcoming match against TJ Brown, Algeo will have to improve his takedown accuracy if he wants to take Brown down to the ground as Brown has a higher takedown accuracy of 56%. Brown also has an average of 3.62 takedowns landed per 15 minutes, which shows he may have an advantage in the wrestling department. Overall, Algeo's wrestling skills are solid, but he will have to improve his accuracy if he wants to take down Brown and control him on the ground. Algeo's striking skills are also something to watch out for as he has a significant strike accuracy of 53%.

 

TJ Brown Striking

When it comes to striking, TJ Brown has had an inconsistent record throughout his career. He lands an average of 3.40 significant strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 44%. TJ Brown absorbs 2.69 significant strikes per minute with a significant strike defence of 49%, meaning almost half of the opponent's strikes miss him. While his striking stats may not be as impressive as some other fighters, TJ Brown's true strength lies in his wrestling. He has an average of 3.62 takedowns landed per 15 minutes with a takedown accuracy of 56%. His takedown defense is not the best, however, with a success rate of only 38%. In his last few fights, TJ Brown has showcased his all-around skillset, mixing in striking with his grappling ability. He has shown an improved striking game, specifically with his kicks and footwork. This has allowed TJ Brown to control the pace of the fight and avoid getting hit. Going into his next fight against Bill Algeo, TJ Brown will need to capitalize on his wrestling and grappling ability while also improving his striking game. If he can play to his strengths and avoid getting into a striking battle with Algeo, TJ Brown has a good chance of coming out on top. However, if he is unable to take Algeo down and the fight stays on the feet, TJ Brown may struggle to keep up with Algeo's superior striking.

TJ Brown: A Tough Wrestling Expert

TJ Brown, also known as Downtown, is a skilled wrestler with a record of 17 wins and 9 losses. He has a height of 5'9" and a weight of 145lbs, and his reach is measured at 72". Brown has a unique stance, switching between orthodox and southpaw styles during fights. He was born on May 22, 1990, and his wrestling expertise is shown in his statistics. Brown's significant strikes landed per minute (SLpM) is 3.40 with a significant striking accuracy (Str. Acc.) of 44%. His significant strikes absorbed per minute (SApM) is 2.69, and his significant strike defence (Str. Def) is 49%. Brown's average takedowns landed per 15 minutes (TDAvg.) is an impressive 3.62 with a takedown accuracy (TDAcc.) rate of 56%. However, his takedown defence (TDDef.) is only at 38%, making him vulnerable to takedowns. The average number of submissions that Brown attempts per 15 minutes is 1.6, highlighting his proficiency in grappling. In his previous fight against Erik Silva, Downtown proved his wrestling expertise by locking in an arm triangle submission to secure the victory. He also won his previous two fights against Charles Rosa and Kai Kamaka, both via unanimous decision (U-DEC). However, he suffered a split decision (S-DEC) loss in his most recent fight against Shayilan Nuerdanbieke. Brown will face Bill Algeo in his upcoming fight at UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen on April 15, 2023. Algeo has a higher significant strikes landed per minute (SLpM) and significant striking accuracy (Str. Acc.) compared to Brown, making this matchup an exciting battle between striking and grappling. Despite his impressive wrestling skills, Brown needs to improve his takedown defence to avoid getting taken down and his striking to match Algeo's pace if he is to win the fight. It will be interesting to see how Downtown incorporates his wrestling into the fight against Algeo and whether his grappling expertise will lead him to victory.

 

How Bill Algeo Can Win Against TJ Brown

To win against TJ Brown, Bill Algeo needs to utilize his significant striking accuracy and defense to keep his opponent on the back foot. With a reach advantage of 73 inches, Bill Algeo can keep TJ Brown at bay with his long jabs and kicks. Bill Algeo should also look to defend TJ Brown's takedowns, as his opponent has a high takedown accuracy of 56%. By stuffing his takedowns, Bill Algeo can further frustrate TJ Brown and prevent him from implementing his grappling skills. However, Bill Algeo should not solely rely on his striking skills as TJ Brown has a higher submission average. While staying on the feet, Bill Algeo should also be aware of TJ Brown's submission attempts and avoid being caught in any dangerous positions. In summary, Bill Algeo can win against TJ Brown by utilizing his significant striking accuracy and defense, defending his opponent's takedowns, and avoiding any submission attempts.

How TJ Brown Can Win: Analyzing His Stats and Fights

TJ Brown, also known as Downtown, has a record of 17-9-0 and is 5'9" tall, weighing 145lbs. His reach is 72", and he has a stance of switch. Looking at his career statistics, he has an SLpM of 3.40, Str. Acc. of 44%, SApM of 2.69, Str. Def. of 49%, TDAvg. of 3.62, TD Acc. of 56%, TD Def. of 38%, and Sub. Avg. of 1.6. Analyzing his fights, TJ Brown has won his last three fights against Erik Silva, Charles Rosa, and Kai Kamaka. In these fights, he utilized his takedowns and submission skills to gain a victory. To win his upcoming fight against Bill Algeo, TJ Brown needs to continue to utilize his grappling skills. Algeo has a better striking accuracy, so TJ Brown should focus on taking the fight to the ground and controlling the pace. Algeo has a TD Def. of 55%, so TJ Brown may need to work to secure the takedown and maintain control once he gets Algeo to the ground. TJ Brown's sub. Avg. is higher than Algeo's, so he may have an advantage should the fight go to the ground. He should look to secure submissions and finish the fight early. However, TJ Brown needs to watch out for Algeo's striking and avoid getting caught in a dangerous position. Overall, TJ Brown can win by utilizing his grappling skills to control the pace of the fight and working to secure submissions. He needs to be cautious of Algeo's striking and avoid getting caught in dangerous positions. If he executes his game plan effectively, TJ Brown can come out with a victory.

 

Prediction

This is an evenly matched fight between two skilled featherweights. Bill Algeo has a slight reach advantage and better striking accuracy, while TJ Brown has better takedown accuracy and a higher submission average. In the end, I believe Brown's grappling skills will be the difference maker in this fight. He will look to take the fight to the ground and control Algeo. Algeo will have his moments with his striking but will ultimately fall short in a close decision.

 

Pick: TJ Brown (Moneyline) +170

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