Al Iaquinta vs Bobby Green Odds, Preview and Prediction, November 6 (11/6): UFC

Credit: photo by Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

Odds

Key stats

Preview

In the Lightweight division, we have what could be an exciting fight between ‘Raging’ Al Iaquinta and Bobby ‘King’ Green. It’s been a little more than two years since Iaquinta last fought, having nursed an ailing knee and pondered retirement. However, the Long Island real estate agent is back and looking to end a two-fight skid. Meanwhile, Green too is coming off two consecutive losses. Having most recently fought Rafael Fiziev to a close decision, Green proved that he still has what it takes to compete with top fighters.

Prediction

This is one of the tougher predictions to make, as both men have some red flags heading into this fight. Al Iaquinta hasn’t fought in a little more than two years, is on a two-fight skid and has been having knee issues for much of his career. When healthy, Iaquinta is one of the best Lightweights. Up until this losing streak, Iaquinta had won nine of his last eleven fights in the UFC. The reason for Iaquinta’s success is his striking. He’s excellent defensively, and at times, he’s been a high output striker. Iaquinta also has some power, as he’s tied for seventh all-time in the Lightweight division with seven knockdowns. Bobby Green can dish it out too, although he is more technical in his approach. With precision and high output, Green looks to break you methodically on the feet, while mixing in timely takedowns. However, the red flags surrounding Green though are his silly tendencies. Green likes to keep his hands low and often shakes his head when being tagged. If Green avoided doing the latter, I have no doubt in my mind, the fights he deserved to win, he probably gets the nod.

As for a prediction, I’m siding with Green. There are just too many red flags with Iaquinta heading into this fight that I would rather side with someone who’s been more active. In fact, Green has fought six times since Iaquinta’s last fight. Another reason I like Green is that he offers a little more output and isn’t afraid to mix in a takedown. Iaquinta is mainly a striker, as his 18% takedown percentage implies that he isn’t an effective wrestler. So with all that said, I predict that Green will win via decision.

PICK: Bobby Green (-170)

Find more sports picks from the top sports bettors and MMA experts all in one place using our iOS and Google Play apps, as well as our other articles at Kingpin.pro.  We are the home for MMA picks, sports picks and sports betting.