Yankees vs Orioles Prediction MLB Picks Today 6/18

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Jun 17, 2024, 10:54:41 PM

MLB Preview and Prediction: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees

The Baltimore Orioles look to continue their strong season as they face the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. The Orioles are favored to win this matchup due to Nestor Cortes' recent struggles against them.

Game Overview:

Date: June 18, 2024
Time: 4:05 PM
Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
TV Coverage: TBS
Weather: 84°F, Clear

Team Breakdown:

Baltimore Orioles:

The Orioles boast a strong 47-24 record, including a stellar 22-10 record on the road. Albert Suarez will start for Baltimore, with an impressive 3-0 record, a 1.61 ERA, and a 1.05 WHIP over 44.2 innings.

Offensively, the Orioles are led by Gunnar Henderson and Adley Rutschman. Henderson has 22 home runs, while Rutschman leads the team with a .289 batting average.

Key Players:

Home Runs: Gunnar Henderson (22 HR)
Batting Average: Adley Rutschman (.289 AVG)
Runs Batted In: Adley Rutschman (53 RBI)

The Orioles' potent lineup and strong pitching make them formidable opponents, especially against left-handed pitchers.

New York Yankees:

The Yankees have a 50-24 record, with an identical 22-10 record at home. Nestor Cortes will take the mound for New York, holding a 3-5 record, a 3.59 ERA, and a 1.12 WHIP over 87.2 innings.

New York's offense is led by Aaron Judge and Juan Soto. Judge leads the team with 26 home runs and 64 RBIs, while Soto boasts a .315 batting average.

Key Players:

Home Runs: Aaron Judge (26 HR)
Batting Average: Juan Soto (.315 AVG)
Runs Batted In: Aaron Judge (64 RBI)

The Yankees have a potent offense but could struggle against the Orioles' pitching, especially given Cortes' recent difficulties against Baltimore.

Game Odds:

Team	Moneyline	Total	Run Line
BAL (47-24)	+130	o8.5 (-130)	+1.5 (-150)
NYY (50-24)	-150	u8.5 (+110)	-1.5 (+130)

Prediction:

The prediction for this game is that the Baltimore Orioles will win on the moneyline (+130). Here’s why:

Nestor Cortes, the Yankees' starter, has struggled in recent matchups against the Orioles. With a 3-5 record, a 3.59 ERA, and having allowed 12 home runs over 87.2 innings, Cortes faces a tough challenge against Baltimore's powerful lineup.

On the other hand, Albert Suarez has been exceptional for the Orioles with a 3-0 record, a 1.61 ERA, and a 1.05 WHIP. Suarez's ability to keep runs down combined with the Orioles' offensive firepower, led by Gunnar Henderson and Adley Rutschman, gives them a strong chance to win.

Given Cortes' struggles against the Orioles and the Orioles' overall strong performance this season, the pick is for Baltimore to win outright.