Willy Adames MLB Props - Brewers vs Cubs 7/22
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Willy Adames MLB Props - Brewers vs Cubs 7/22

 

Willy Adames' MLB Props - Brewers vs Cubs 7/22

Game Summary

The Milwaukee Brewers (57-42, first in the NL Central) will face off against the Chicago Cubs (48-53, fourth in the NL Central) on Monday, July 22, 2024, at Wrigley Field in Chicago. The game is set to begin at 8:05 p.m. EDT. The Brewers are looking to extend their lead in the division, while the Cubs aim to close the gap and climb up the standings.

Milwaukee has been a strong team on the road with a 28-25 record. They have the second-ranked team on-base percentage in the NL at .332, showcasing their ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities. The Brewers have won six out of the ten matchups against the Cubs this season, giving them a slight edge in the season series.

Chicago, on the other hand, has a respectable home record of 26-23. The Cubs have been effective when recording eight or more hits, boasting a 36-20 record in such games. Despite their current fourth-place standing, the Cubs have shown resilience and competitiveness, especially in their recent games. They come into this series with a 6-4 record in their last ten games, hitting .272 with a 2.43 ERA, outscoring opponents by 14 runs.

The Brewers are coming off a 5-5 stretch in their last ten games, hitting .245 with a 4.21 ERA, and have outscored opponents by 10 runs. Both teams will look to their key players to make an impact in this crucial series.

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Player Prop Odds

Willy Adames Player Prop Odds:

Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+370)

Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+260)

Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+480)

Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+125)

Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-105)

Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-115)

Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+125)

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Player Analysis

Willy Adames has been a key player for the Milwaukee Brewers this season. With a current batting average of .248, Adames has contributed significantly with 15 home runs and 67 RBIs. His slugging percentage of .452 reflects his ability to hit for power, making him a threat to opposing pitchers.

In the last ten games, Adames has been on fire, going 15-for-41 with six doubles, two home runs, and 10 RBIs. His recent form indicates that he is seeing the ball well and making solid contact. Adames' performance will be crucial for the Brewers as they aim to secure a win against the Cubs.

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Opposing Analysis

The Cubs' starting pitcher for this game, Javier Assad, has a record of 4-3 with a 3.27 ERA. Assad has been relatively effective this season but has shown vulnerability against power hitters. With 79 strikeouts and a WHIP of 1.35, he has the potential to control the game but can also give up the long ball.

Assad will need to be cautious with Adames, who has the ability to change the game's momentum with one swing. The Cubs' bullpen, which has a 3.81 ERA, will also play a crucial role in containing the Brewers' offense.

Pitching Probables

Here are the probable pitchers for the game:

Pitcher Team W-L ERA Strikeouts
Tobias Myers Brewers 6-3 3.12 62
Javier Assad Cubs 4-3 3.27 79

Team Previews

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers have been solid this season with a 57-42 record. They excel in getting on base, boasting the second-ranked on-base percentage in the NL at .332. However, their batting average of .233 ranks 25th, indicating they rely more on drawing walks and timely hits rather than consistent contact.

Milwaukee's pitching staff has been a strength, with a team ERA of 3.76, ranking them 10th in the league. Their bullpen has also been effective, securing 22 saves. Defensively, they have committed 53 errors, ranking 14th in the league.

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs have a 48-53 record and are currently fourth in the NL Central. They have performed well at home with a 26-23 record. The Cubs' offense ranks 4th in batting average at .255 and 6th in runs scored with 482. Their ability to generate hits and score runs makes them a formidable opponent.

Chicago's pitching staff has a team ERA of 3.81, ranking them 11th. Their bullpen has been solid, securing 33 saves, the third-most in the league. Defensively, the Cubs have committed 52 errors, ranking 15th.

Team Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

Player Position Injury Status
Oliver Dunn 2B 60-Day IL (back)
Enoli Paredes RP 15-Day IL (forearm)
Gary Sanchez C 10-Day IL (calf)
Robert Gasser RP 60-Day IL (flexor)
D.L. Hall RP 60-Day IL (knee)
Joe Ross SP 15-Day IL (back)
J.B. Bukauskas RP 60-Day IL (lat)
Wade Miley SP 60-Day IL (elbow)
Devin Williams RP 60-Day IL (back)
Brandon Woodruff SP 60-Day IL (elbow)

Chicago Cubs Injuries

Player Position Injury Status
Hayden Wesneski SP 15-Day IL (forearm)
Jordan Wicks SP 60-Day IL (oblique)
Luke Little RP 15-Day IL (shoulder)
Cody Bellinger CF 10-Day IL (finger)
Colten Brewer RP 60-Day IL (hand)
Keegan Thompson RP 15-Day IL (rib)
Yency Almonte RP 60-Day IL (shoulder)
Ben Brown RP 15-Day IL (neck)
Adbert Alzolay RP 60-Day IL (forearm)
Julian Merryweather RP 60-Day IL (shoulder)
Caleb Kilian SP 60-Day IL (shoulder)

Recent Games

Milwaukee Brewers Recent Games

Opponent Score W/L
@ Minnesota 8-4 (F/12) W
@ Minnesota 8-7 W
DATE OPPONENT TIME
@ Chicago 8:05 PM  
@ Chicago 8:05 PM  
@ Chicago 2:20 PM  

Chicago Cubs Recent Games

Opponent Score W/L
vs Arizona 5-2 L
vs Arizona 3-0 L
vs Arizona 2-1 (F/10) W
DATE OPPONENT TIME
vs Milwaukee 8:05 PM  
vs Milwaukee 8:05 PM  
vs Milwaukee 2:20 PM  

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Prediction

Pick: Over 0.5 Home Runs (+480)

Willy Adames has been in excellent form recently, hitting two home runs in his last ten games. Given his power and the potential vulnerability of Cubs' pitcher Javier Assad against power hitters, betting on Adames to hit a home run at +480 odds offers great value. Adames' ability to drive the ball out of the park makes this a compelling prop bet for the upcoming game.

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