Willie Calhoun's MLB Props - Angels vs Mariners 7/22

Game Summary:

The Los Angeles Angels (42-57, fourth in the AL West) will be facing off against the Seattle Mariners (53-48, second in the AL West) on Monday, July 22, 2024, at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. The game is set to begin at 9:40 p.m. EDT.

Seattle enters this matchup with a solid 31-20 record at home, and they have been particularly effective when hitting at least two home runs, boasting a 21-12 record in such games. The Mariners have also managed to lead the season series against the Angels 4-3, showing their ability to compete effectively.

On the other hand, the Los Angeles Angels have struggled on the road, with a 20-28 record. Despite this, they hold the 10th-ranked team batting average in the American League at .236, which indicates they can be competitive offensively.

Recent performances for both teams show a mixed bag; the Mariners have a 4-6 record in their last 10 games with a .231 batting average and a 2.73 ERA, while the Angels are 5-5 in their last 10 games, hitting .245 but with a much higher ERA of 5.97. The Mariners have outscored their opponents by 11 runs over this stretch, whereas the Angels have been outscored by 22 runs.

Notable performers include Cal Raleigh for the Mariners, who leads the team with 20 home runs, and Julio Rodriguez, who has been on fire recently with three home runs and seven RBIs in his last 10 games. For the Angels, Jo Adell has been a key player with 24 extra-base hits, including 15 home runs, and Zachary Neto, who has been hitting .400 over his last 10 games.

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Player Prop Odds:

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- Willie Calhoun Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+420)

- Willie Calhoun Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+270)

- Willie Calhoun Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+160)

- Willie Calhoun Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+115)

- Willie Calhoun Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-130)

- Willie Calhoun Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+140)

Player Analysis:

Willie Calhoun has been a key contributor for the Los Angeles Angels this season. With his ability to get on base and hit for power, he has become a reliable figure in the lineup. As of now, Calhoun is batting .263 with 12 home runs, 35 RBIs, and a .423 slugging percentage. Over the last 10 games, he has shown consistency, hitting .275 with 2 home runs and 6 RBIs.

Calhoun’s ability to hit doubles has been noteworthy. His current season tally of 18 doubles showcases his knack for finding gaps and turning singles into extra-base hits. With odds of +420 for hitting over 0.5 doubles, this could be an enticing prop bet for those looking to capitalize on his strength in this area.

Opposing Analysis:

The Seattle Mariners will send Bryce Miller to the mound, who has been solid this season with a 7-7 record, a 3.63 ERA, and 98 strikeouts over 109 innings. However, Miller has shown some vulnerability against left-handed hitters, who have a .270 batting average against him.

Seattle’s bullpen has also been relatively inconsistent, with a 4.72 ERA, ranking 29th in the league. This provides an opportunity for the Angels' hitters, including Calhoun, to take advantage in later innings.

Pitching Probables:

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Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Tyler Anderson (LAA)	8-8	2.97	1.17	118.0	91	81	47	14
Bryce Miller (SEA)	7-7	3.63	1.06	109.0	87	98	29	15

Team Previews:

Los Angeles Angels:

The Angels have struggled both offensively and defensively this season. They are ranked 30th in hits with 717 and have a team batting average of .218, which is the worst in the league. Their run production has also been subpar, with just 387 runs scored, ranking them 28th overall.

Pitching has been a brighter spot for the Angels, with their staff posting a 3.47 ERA, ranking 3rd in the league. However, their fielding has been average, committing 54 errors, ranking 13th.

Seattle Mariners:

The Mariners have shown a more balanced performance. Although their hitting is ranked 25th with 776 hits and a .236 batting average, they have managed to compensate with timely hitting and solid pitching. Their run production stands at 398 runs, ranked 26th.

On the mound, the Mariners have a team ERA of 4.72, ranking them 29th, which indicates room for improvement. Their bullpen has been particularly shaky, which could be exploited by the Angels.

Team Injuries:

Player	Position	Injury Status
Ryne Stanek	RP	Day-to-day (back)
Dominic Canzone	OF	10-Day IL (abductor)
Sam Haggerty	OF	60-Day IL (achilles)
Matt Brash	RP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Jackson Kowar	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)

Player	Position	Injury Status
Mike Trout	CF	10-Day IL (meniscus)
Patrick Sandoval	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Andrew Wantz	RP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Jose Quijada	RP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Jose Cisnero	RP	60-Day IL (shoulder)

Recent Games:

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Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Oakland	L13-3	L
@ Oakland	L8-2	L
@ Oakland	W8-5	W
@ Seattle	9:40 PM	Upcoming
@ Seattle	9:40 PM	Upcoming

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Houston	L3-0	L
vs Houston	L4-2	L
vs Houston	W6-4	W
vs Los Angeles	9:40 PM	Upcoming
vs Los Angeles	9:40 PM	Upcoming

Prediction:

Considering Willie Calhoun’s recent form and the Mariners' pitching weaknesses, particularly against left-handed hitters, the prop bet for Calhoun to hit over 0.5 singles at -130 seems like a solid pick. Given the Mariners' bullpen struggles and Calhoun’s ability to hit doubles, the over 0.5 doubles at +420 is an appealing high-reward bet.

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