Will Wagner Player Props Prediction: Blue Jays vs Cubs
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Will Wagner Player Props Prediction: Blue Jays vs Cubs

Will Wagner Player Props Prediction: Blue Jays vs Cubs

Date: August 17, 2024 | Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago

Game Summary

The Chicago Cubs (60-63) are set to host the Toronto Blue Jays (57-65) at Wrigley Field on August 17, 2024, at 2:20 PM EDT. This matchup comes as the Cubs are riding a three-game home winning streak, looking to maintain their momentum against a struggling Blue Jays squad. The Cubs currently hold a record of 33-27 at home, while the Blue Jays have struggled on the road with a 28-34 record.

Historically, the Cubs have had the upper hand in recent matchups against the Blue Jays, but both teams are vying for postseason contention. The Cubs have the ninth-ranked on-base percentage in the National League at .310, while the Blue Jays hold the same ranking for slugging percentage in the American League at .384.

Top performers to watch include the Cubs' Isaac Paredes, who has contributed 18 home runs this season, and Ian Happ with four home runs over the last ten games. For the Blue Jays, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads with a .319 batting average and 25 home runs. Both teams are coming off a .500 record over their last 10 games, with the Cubs holding a slight edge in run differential.

Weather conditions are expected to be cloudy with a temperature around 79°F, which could influence gameplay dynamics. The matchup today is the second encounter between these teams this season, making this an intriguing battle as both teams push for crucial victories in their respective divisions.

Player Prop Odds

  • Batter Singles: 0.5 (Odds: -120.0)
  • Batter Doubles: 0.5 (Odds: 480.0)
  • Batter Hits: 0.5 (Odds: -180.0)
  • Batter RBIs: 0.5 (Odds: 210.0)
  • Batter Runs Scored: 0.5 (Odds: 150.0)
  • Batter Total Bases: 1.5 (Odds: 160.0)

Player Analysis

Will Wagner has had a solid season thus far, demonstrating versatility in his batting capabilities. With a current batting average of .276 and 21 home runs, Wagner has shown he can perform under pressure. His recent form includes an impressive performance, hitting safely in several consecutive games, which makes the prop bets on singles and total bases particularly intriguing.

His ability to consistently reach base makes the "Batter Hits" prop (-180.0) a favorable option. With a high on-base percentage, Wagner has been effective at generating runs and contributing to the team's overall performance. Given his current form and the matchup against Chris Bassitt, who has a 4.30 ERA, there’s significant potential for Wagner to reach his hitting prop.

Opposing Analysis

The Cubs' pitching staff, led by Justin Steele, boasts a 3.16 ERA, which is notably impressive. However, they have struggled against left-handed hitters, which could play to Wagner's advantage. The Cubs' bullpen has also seen a few shaky performances recently, allowing for potential scoring opportunities for the Blue Jays.

In terms of hitting, the Cubs' lineup has been inconsistent, which could impact their ability to support Steele. If Wagner can find gaps against Steele's pitches, especially given the Cubs' recent struggles with lefties, he may excel in today's matchup.

Starting Pitching Summary - Blue Jays

Chris Bassitt (9-11, 4.30 ERA) will take the mound for the Blue Jays. Despite a tumultuous season, Bassitt has proven capable of striking out batters with 129 strikeouts under his belt. However, he has also allowed 63 earned runs, indicating some vulnerability. His recent outings show he can be hit, which could lead to scoring opportunities for the Cubs, thus impacting Wagner's prop odds indirectly.

Starting Pitching Summary - Cubs

Justin Steele (3-5, 3.16 ERA) will start for the Cubs. Steele has been a reliable arm for Chicago, allowing only 52 earned runs this season. His WHIP of 1.10 also illustrates his effectiveness in limiting base runners. However, if he struggles early, it could lead to a high-scoring affair, benefiting players like Wagner who thrive in run-producing situations.

Bullpen Summary - Blue Jays

The Blue Jays' bullpen is ranked fifth in the league with a collective ERA of 3.75. With depth in their relief pitching, they can close out games effectively, but they have shown some inconsistency during critical moments. This could impact Wagner's opportunities to drive in runs if the game remains tight.

Bullpen Summary - Cubs

The Cubs' bullpen has struggled this season, ranking 27th with an ERA of 4.54. Their inability to consistently shut down opposing teams could present Wagner with additional scoring opportunities, especially late in the game, making the RBIs prop an enticing option.

Team Previews

The Blue Jays have underperformed this season compared to expectations, with a batting average of .235 and a rank of 23rd in hits. However, players like Wagner can change games with the right matchup. The Cubs have a slightly better offense, with a batting average of .239. Both teams need strong performances to stay competitive in their respective divisions.

Team Injuries

Player Position Injury Status
Bo Bichette SS Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
Hayden Wesneski RP Expected to be out until at least Aug 27

Recent Games

Opponent Score W/L
vs Detroit L5-4 Loss
vs Detroit L7-3 Loss
vs Detroit W5-4 Win
vs Tampa Bay L4-2 Loss
vs Tampa Bay W6-3 Win

Prediction

Pick: Will Wagner to record over 0.5 hits (-180.0)

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last 30 days winnings ($5,187)
Yesterday winnings ($252)
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