Will Smith's MLB Props - Giants vs Dodgers 7/22

Game Summary

The San Francisco Giants (48-52) will face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers (59-41) at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles on Monday, July 22, at 10:10 PM EDT. This game marks the first of a four-game series between these National League West rivals. The Dodgers, currently leading the division, look to extend their dominance over the Giants, having secured a 6-3 advantage in their previous nine matchups this season.

Both teams have struggled recently, with the Dodgers posting a 4-6 record in their last 10 games, sporting a .240 batting average and a 5.62 ERA. The Giants have mirrored this performance with a 4-6 record, a .229 batting average, and a 4.34 ERA. Despite their recent struggles, the Dodgers boast a strong home record of 31-19, while the Giants have been less effective on the road, holding a 20-30 record.

The Dodgers have been prolific with the long ball, ranking third in the majors with 138 home runs. Shohei Ohtani leads the charge with 30 home runs, while Will Smith, the subject of our prop prediction, has been hot recently, hitting four home runs and driving in six runs over his last 10 games. The Giants, although not as powerful, have a solid offense led by Matt Chapman and Mike Yastrzemski, who have been consistent contributors.

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Player Prop Odds

For Will Smith, the prop odds are as follows:
- Batter Doubles Over 0.5: +400
- Batter Hits Over 0.5: -190, Under 0.5: +145
- Batter RBIs Over 0.5: +195, Under 0.5: -280
- Batter Runs Scored Over 0.5: +120, Under 0.5: -160
- Batter Singles Over 0.5: +100

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Player Analysis

Will Smith has been a key contributor to the Dodgers' offense this season. Over his last 10 games, Smith is 11-for-38 with a double, four home runs, and six RBIs. His recent performance indicates he is seeing the ball well and making solid contact. Smith's season batting average stands at .240, with 18 home runs and 53 RBIs, making him a consistent power threat in the Dodgers' lineup.

Smith's ability to hit for power and drive in runs makes him a valuable asset for prop bets. His versatility in the lineup, often batting in the middle order, provides ample opportunities for RBIs and runs scored. Given his recent form and the overall strength of the Dodgers' lineup, Smith is well-positioned to continue his hot streak against the Giants.

Opposing Analysis

The Giants will be starting Blake Snell, who has struggled this season with an 0-3 record and a 6.31 ERA. Snell's issues with control, as evidenced by his 17 walks in 35.2 innings, have led to a high WHIP of 1.43. The Giants' bullpen has been slightly better, but still not dominant, with a team ERA of 4.34 over their last 10 games.

Against left-handed pitching this season, the Dodgers have been effective, with several key hitters, including Smith, performing well. Smith's ability to hit left-handers, coupled with Snell's struggles, bodes well for Smith's prop bets. The Giants' defense has also been average, ranking tied for 19th in errors, which could lead to additional opportunities for Smith.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Blake Snell (SF)	0-3	6.31	42
TBD (LAD)	--	--	--

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Team Previews

San Francisco Giants

The Giants have had an up-and-down season, currently sitting at 48-52. Their hitting has been solid, ranking 6th in the majors with a .254 team batting average and tied for 1st in runs scored with 499. Matt Chapman leads the team with a .234 batting average, while Mike Yastrzemski has been a consistent contributor recently, going 11-for-28 with a home run and three RBIs over his last 10 games.

The Giants' starting pitching has been a mixed bag, with Blake Snell struggling significantly. Their bullpen has been decent, ranking 9th in the majors with a 3.76 ERA. Defensively, the Giants have been average, committing 50 errors, which ranks tied for 19th in the league. With several key players on the IL, including Alex Cobb and Tristan Beck, the Giants' depth will be tested in this series.

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers have been one of the stronger teams in the league this season, leading the NL West with a 59-41 record. Their offense has been powered by Shohei Ohtani, who has 30 home runs, and Will Smith, who has been particularly effective recently. The Dodgers rank 3rd in the majors with 138 home runs, showcasing their power-hitting capabilities.

On the pitching front, the Dodgers have had their struggles, with an ERA of 4.42, which ranks 23rd in the league. However, their bullpen has been a strength, and they have managed to maintain a solid home record of 31-19. Defensively, the Dodgers have committed 57 errors, ranking tied for 10th in the league. With several injuries to key players like Mookie Betts and Clayton Kershaw, the Dodgers will need contributions from their depth players to maintain their lead in the division.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Tom Murphy	C	Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 (Knee)
Keaton Winn	SP	Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 (Elbow)
Mookie Betts	SS	Expected to be out until at least Aug 20 (Hand)

Recent Games

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San Francisco Giants

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Colorado	L 7-3	L
@ Colorado	L 4-3	L
@ Colorado	W 3-2	W
@ Milwaukee	L 8-2	L
@ Milwaukee	W 5-4	W

Los Angeles Dodgers

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Boston	W 4-1	W
vs Boston	W 7-6 F/11	W
vs Boston	W 9-6	W
@ Arizona	L 5-3	L
@ Arizona	W 6-2	W

Prediction

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