Game Summary

The Cincinnati Reds are set to face the Pittsburgh Pirates in Game 3 of their series at PNC Park on August 24, 2024, at 6:40 p.m. EDT. The Pirates currently lead the series 2-0, having won the last game 6-5. Both teams are in the midst of a tight playoff race within the NL Central, with the Reds holding a record of 62-67 while the Pirates are at 61-67. The Reds have struggled in close games, going 10-22 in one-run games, while the Pirates have performed better when they have more hits than their opponents, boasting a 44-14 record in such games.

In terms of recent performance, the Pirates are 5-5 in their last 10 games, managing a .230 batting average and a solid 3.45 ERA, while the Reds have gone 4-6, with a batting average of .244 and a troubling 6.31 ERA, having been outscored by 23 runs. Historically, this season has seen the Pirates take the upper hand, leading the season series 6-2 against the Reds.

Key players to watch include Oneil Cruz for the Pirates, who has 18 home runs and 63 RBIs this season, and Elly De La Cruz for the Reds, boasting a .260 batting average along with 22 home runs. Both teams will need their stars to shine if they hope to secure a win in this crucial game.

Player Prop Odds

- Will Benson Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+390)
- Will Benson Stolen Bases: Under 0.5 (NA)

Player Analysis

Will Benson has emerged as a promising talent for the Cincinnati Reds this season. His speed on the bases has made him a valuable asset, especially in late-game situations. With a current line of +390 for stealing at least one base, this prop offers enticing value. Benson’s aggressive approach on the bases can be attributed to his overall game strategy, focusing on capitalizing on pitchers’ mistakes and exploiting their deliveries.

Statistically, Benson has shown flashes of brilliance, having stolen bases in crucial moments, reflecting his ability to read the game effectively. While he may not have a high volume of stolen bases, his speed and technique could very well see him snagging a base in this matchup against the Pirates, who may have vulnerabilities in their pitching strategy under pressure.

Opposing Analysis

The Pirates will be starting Jake Woodford, who has had a shaky season with a 6.67 ERA and a WHIP of 1.44. Given Woodford's challenges, Benson's chances of successfully stealing a base increase. If Woodford struggles with his control, it could lead to more opportunities for Benson to exploit his speed. The Pirates' pitching staff overall has had moments of inconsistency, which could play into the Reds’ favor if they can create scoring opportunities early in the game.

Prop Analysis

Evaluating the prop for Will Benson's stolen bases, the positive odds of +390 indicate that sportsbooks view this as a low-probability event. However, considering the current circumstances of the game, including Woodford's susceptibility to base runners and Benson's speed, this prop presents an interesting opportunity. If Benson gets on base, he’ll likely be aggressive, especially if the game is close or if he’s in scoring position.

The matchup dynamics suggest that Benson could take advantage of any lapses in Woodford’s focus. The Reds will need to capitalize on every opportunity, and this includes leveraging Benson’s speed against a potentially distracted pitcher.

Starting Pitching Summary - Reds

Julian Aguiar will take the mound for the Reds, boasting a 4.50 ERA and a WHIP of 1.25 in his appearances this season. While Aguiar has not been a dominant force, he has shown the capability to keep the game within reach. His performance will be crucial in setting the tone for the Reds and giving their offense a chance to capitalize against the Pirates' pitching.

Starting Pitching Summary - Pirates

Jake Woodford, the Pirates' starter, has struggled throughout the season with a 0-5 record and a high 6.67 ERA. This inconsistency could play into the Reds' favor, particularly if they can get to him early in the game. If Aguiar can keep the game competitive, it will allow Benson and the Reds’ offense to take calculated risks on the bases.

Bullpen Summary - Reds

The Reds' bullpen has had its share of ups and downs, with a current ERA of 3.90. Managing the game effectively will be key, especially if Aguiar can’t go deep into the game. Their ability to maintain leads will be crucial if Benson can contribute on the bases and help the Reds build momentum.

Bullpen Summary - Pirates

The Pirates' bullpen has performed slightly better with a 4.07 ERA overall. However, if Woodford struggles, the Reds may have an opportunity to exploit the Pirates' relief pitching. Timely hitting and aggressive base-running by Benson could be the difference in a tightly contested game.

Team Previews

The Cincinnati Reds have had a challenging season with a record of 62-67, ranking fourth in the NL Central. Despite their struggles, they have shown resilience, especially against divisional rivals. Their hitting has been a mixed bag, with a .234 batting average, but they have the potential to score big when their top players perform.

The Pittsburgh Pirates, currently fifth in the NL Central with a record of 61-67, have demonstrated a similar inconsistency. Their hitting has been slightly better, with 571 runs scored this season, but they’ve been vulnerable against strong pitching. The team will look to build momentum from their recent victories against the Reds to further solidify their position in the division.

Team Injuries

Pirates Injuries:
- Ke'Bryan Hayes: 3B - 10-Day IL (herniated disc)
- Andrew McCutchen: OF - 10-Day IL (knee)
- Johan Oviedo: SP - 60-Day IL (elbow)
Reds Injuries:
- Austin Wynns: C - 60-Day IL (shoulder)
- Jeimer Candelario: 3B - 10-Day IL (toe)
- Hunter Greene: SP - 15-Day IL (elbow)

Recent Games

Pittsburgh Pirates Recent Games: